Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq bounce back as Trump tariff move buoys steelmakers

US stocks rose on Monday, eyeing a bounce back from sharp losses as steelmakers rallied after President Donald Trump said he will impose new tariffs on steel and aluminum imports.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) added 0.2% after the blue-chip index on Friday booked its worst loss in nearly four weeks. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose roughly 0.6%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) popped more than 1% as shares of AI chip giant Nvidia (NVDA) surged.

Investors are weighing Trump’s pledge on Sunday to introduce additional 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum from all countries, with the official announcement expected on Monday.

The new metals tariffs are likely to benefit US steel companies, whose stock jumped. Shares in Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) surged over 14%, while Nucor (NUE) rose nearly 7%. US Steel (X) put on 3%, as questions remain about a proposed Nippon Steel buyout. Aluminum producer Alcoa’s (AA) stock also gained.

The move marks another escalation in Trump’s fast-moving policy overhaul and in the odds of a trade war. Major US suppliers Canada and Mexico — already threatened with tariff hikes, currently on pause — face significant impact.

Markets were already bracing for reciprocal tariffs, which Trump said will be announced on Tuesday or Wednesday, with immediate effect. The tariffs will apply to all trading partners and will match the duties levied on US products by each country.

But Monday’s gains for US stocks suggest that investors are getting used to Trump’s trade salvos. Some on Wall Street say many now see the announcements as a negotiation tactic only.

That said, markets are concerned the growing list of tariff hikes could drive up inflation, likely to stall interest rate cuts. The January Consumer Price Index reading due on Wednesday will be closely watched for clues, alongside the week’s updates on retail sales.

The latest New York Fed survey released on Monday showed consumers see long term inflation expectations ticking higher to 3% — the highest reading since May 2024.

On the corporate front, 78 S&P 500 companies are set to report earnings this week. McDonald’s (MCD) shares rose after same-store sales grew, beating expectations. Coca-Cola (KO), Super Micro Computer (SMCI), and Airbnb (ABNB) are set to follow this week.

LIVE 10 updates

  • Nvidia bounces 3% as Wall Street reiterates bullish calls

    Chip heavyweight Nvidia (NVDA) rallied more than 3% on Monday as Wall Street analysts remain bullish on the stock, despite last month’s sell-off over the creation of a Chinese AI model seen as a threat to its US rivals.

    Nvidia stock is currently flat for the year, following several volatile weeks.

    On Monday Evercore ISI analyst Mark Lipacis reiterated an Outperform rating and a $190 price target on the stock, ahead of the company’s earnings report on February 26.

    Also on Monday, Argus reiterated its Buy rating on Nvidia with a $175 price target, despite the release of Chinese startup DeepSeek’s AI model, which sparked a tech sell-off in late January.

    “Competition in AI will continue to intensify, but beyond data center, Nvidia also has huge growth opportunities in gaming, professional visualization, and automotive,” wrote Argus senior analyst James Kelleher.

    Meanwhile, Bank of America’s Vivek Arya also reaffirmed the chip giant as his top pick for 2025 last week.

    Shares of Nvidia rose on Monday after the company’s main supplier for AI servers, Hon Hai Precision Industry, reported a 3% bump in January sales and strengthened its quarterly revenue forecast.

  • Rivian opens up commercial van orders, a potentially lucrative business

    Yahoo Finance’s Pras Subramanian reports:

    Rivian (RIVN) announced on Monday that it is opening up orders for its Rivian Commercial van beyond its initial launch partners, potentially creating a lucrative business for the pure-play EV maker.

    Rivian’s commercial van runs on the same platform as the current electric delivery van that Rivian produces for Amazon (AMZN). Though Rivian originally had an exclusive arrangement to produce 100,000 vans for the retail giant, Amazon is currently only using 20,000 vans.

    Rivian said that after the end of its exclusivity period with Amazon, it had been testing its commercial vans with large fleet operators, including AT&T, and was now ready to open up orders to other companies utilizing fleets.

    Rivian shares were up over 3% in midday trade on Monday.

  • Ines Ferré

    Energy stocks gain as oil rallies despite tariff threats

    Oil futures rallied on Monday, helping lift energy stocks.

    The S&P 500 Energy Sector (XLE) was the biggest gainer, outperforming Tech (XLK) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY).

    On Monday the stock market shrugged off escalating trade tensions, with all three major averages rallying.

    Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate crude (CL=F) and Brent futures (BZ=F) gained more than 1%, bouncing back from a three-week decline.

    “The sharply higher US stock market is also bringing buyers back from the sidelines,” said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading for BOK Financial Securities.

  • Alexandra Canal

    Long-term inflation expectations edge higher in January: Fed survey

    US consumers’ long-term inflation expectations moved higher in January as President Trump teased more tariff announcements over the weekend.

    According to the latest survey released by the New York Federal Reserve Monday morning, consumers see inflation steady at 3% a year from now, while the three-year period also came in unchanged at 3%. Five-year inflation expectations, however, ticked up to 3% from the prior 2.7% reading — the highest since May 2024.

    Year-ahead commodity price expectations rose across the board, with the outlook for gas prices rising to 2.6% in January while costs for food, medical care, college, and rent all increased to 4.6%, 6.8%, 5.9%, and 6.0%, respectively.

    The results follow last week’s University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey, which showed headline sentiment decline to its lowest level in seven months. Pessimism over the inflation outlook drove down February’s preliminary read and one-year inflation expectations jumped to 4.3% from 3.3% last month.

    Outside of inflation, Monday’s survey also pointed to some uncertainty within the US job market, despite Friday’s hot January payrolls report.

    The mean perceived probability of losing one’s job in the next 12 months increased by 2.3 percentage points to 14.2% in January. Meanwhile, the mean perceived probability of finding a job in the next three months also increased to 51.5%, an increase of 1.4 percentage points.

  • Ines Ferré

    Trump tariffs may trigger ‘painful’ stagflationary shock: Economist

    Yahoo Finance’s Brian Sozzi reports:

    Markets may be trying to figure out the impact of a full-on Trump trade war with Europe, China, Canada, and Mexico.

    But one prominent economist says the eventual outcome could be singular.

    Apollo Global Management (APO) chief economist Torsten Sløk told me on Yahoo Finance’s Opening Bid that a full-scale US trade war against the world would deliver a “stagflationary shock” to the US economy. Stagflation is defined as a period of slow growth and high inflation. It’s a tariff-related warning also recently issued by billionaire investor Ray Dalio. (Disclosure: Yahoo Finance is owned by Apollo Global Management.)

    “So the short-run effects of a trade war [are] certainly painful. Even this might be small numbers, but it’s certainly something that’s negative,” Sløk said on Monday (see video above; listen below).

    Read more here.

  • Ines Ferré

    Donald Trump is simultaneously reworking the US trade landscape on 3 different fronts this week

    Yahoo Finance’s Ben Werschkul reports:

    Donald Trump’s rapid reorientation of the US trade landscape has a busy week ahead, and he could make moves on three simultaneous fronts as importers, CEOs, and foreign leaders struggle to adjust.

    The uncertainty is being heightened as crucial details remain unclear, but with the president promising “highly detailed” announcements in the days ahead.

    Up first this week is a newly announced plan for 25% duties on steel and aluminum, which Trump told reporters on Sunday would be announced on Monday.

    The president is set to sign new executive orders at 1 p.m. ET. He said his tariff plans will apply to all imports, but it remains to be seen how these new duties overlap with existing metal tariffs.

    Read more here.

  • Myles Udland

    GameStop stock surges after Ryan Cohen takes a picture with Michael Saylor

    The headline is the whole story, give or take.

    At midnight Saturday, this post on X emerged:

    As Sherwood’s Luke Kawa notes: “Saylor runs Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), the largest corporate holder of bitcoin. The warm market response to Cohen’s tweet suggests that traders are hoping that Cohen uses some of GameStop’s $4.6 billion in cash and cash-like securities to take a page from Saylor’s playbook. (That playbook has one rule: buy bitcoin).”

    Here’s GameStop stock (GME) this morning, up as much as 7% about 30 minutes into the trading session:

    Back in December 2023, GameStop’s board gave Cohen the authority to use the company’s capital to make investments, essentially laying the groundwork for GameStop to be turned into a holding company similar to the Daily Journal (DJCO) company formerly chaired by the late Charlie Munger, or, more grandiosely, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B, BRK-A).

    Saylor’s Strategy, as Kawa notes, last week formally changed its branding and corporate goals around serving as a bitcoin holding company. (The company also has a small software business on the side.)

    Longtime analyst Jeff Macke told Yahoo Finance last year he thinks GameStop should follow the same path.

    And you know what they say about pictures.

  • Ines Ferré

    Gold rallies past $2,900 per ounce amid tariff threats

    Gold surged on Monday to trade past $2,900 to hit new records as President Trump’s latest tariff threats spurred the buying of the safe-haven asset.

    Gold futures (GC=F) climbed more than 1.4% to around $2,930 after hitting a series of all-time highs in the past week.

    Over the weekend, Trump said that he will introduce 25% tariffs on all imports of steel and aluminum into the US from all countries, on top of existing duties.

    He also said Friday he plans to announce retaliatory tariffs this week to match the levies that countries impose on US goods. The latest policy shifts follow 10% tariffs on certain Chinese products, which went into effect on Tuesday.

    Wall Street analysts have stayed bullish on gold amid the growing tariff threats.

    “We continue to see gold as an effective portfolio hedge and diversifier, and believe an allocation of around 5% within a USD balanced portfolio is optimal,” Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer for the Americas at UBS Global Wealth Management, wrote in a Monday note.

    Gold is up almost 10% this year so far, following a 27% rally in 2024.

  • Ines Ferré

    Stocks open higher as Trump tariffs lift steel stocks

    US stocks opened higher on Monday with Industrials getting a lift as investors anticipate US tariffs on steel and aluminum imports will be announced soon.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) added 0.6% after the blue-chip index on Friday booked its worst loss in nearly four weeks. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose roughly 0.5%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) popped 0.7%.

    On Sunday, President Donald Trump said he will impose new tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, with an announcement expected on Monday. Also, investors expect Trump to announce a retaliatory tariff plan this week.

    Trade tensions have prompted investors to flock to safe-haven assets like gold. The precious metal gained more than 1% on Monday, to trade above $2,900 per ounce for the first time on record.

    The year-to-date gain for gold is almost 10%, following a 27% rally in 2024.

  • Jenny McCall

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