The “Magnificent Seven” Has Gained $4.8 Trillion Since the Start of April. Here’s Why That’s a Risk to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100.

Key Points

  • The broader stock market is heavily dependent on a handful of stocks.

  • Today’s leading companies have faster growth rates and higher margins than former market leaders.

  • S&P 500 index funds don’t offer as much diversification as they used to.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Nvidia ›

Will AI create the world’s first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an “Indispensable Monopoly” providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »

The “Magnificent Seven” has captured the investing spotlight in recent years, driving broader market returns since the start of 2023. But a little over a month ago, many Magnificent Seven stocks were down big in 2026. And at multiple points this year, all seven were underperforming the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC). But since the start of April, incredible earnings reports, guidance, and investor optimism for easing geopolitical tensions have propelled the group to new heights.

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG) (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META), and Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) have gained a combined $4.8 trillion since the start of April.

To put that figure into perspective, consider that no U.S. company was worth more than $1 trillion until August 2018. And the total market cap of the S&P 500 is around $68.2 trillion at recent prices, meaning the added value of the Magnificent Seven since the start of April would be about 7% of the index.

But concentrated gains are a double-edged sword. While growth investors have benefited from the big getting bigger, that growth adds considerable risk to the U.S. market, especially through major indexes like the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq-100, which consists of the 100 largest non-financial companies of the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC).

Here’s a look at what’s driving these market-leading stocks to new heights, why the big companies keep getting bigger, and what it means for investors looking to maintain diversified portfolios.

Image source: Getty Images.

Magnificent Seven dominance

As of market close on Thursday, over half of the S&P 500 was in just 20 stocks, and over 80% of the Nasdaq-100 was in 19 stocks. At first glance, it looks like textbook market euphoria, akin to the dot-com bust roughly 25 years ago or the stock market crash of the early to-mid-1970s.

While there are examples of smaller red-hot growth stocks at sky-high valuations, the Magnificent Seven (except Tesla) are earnings-driven stories. This means stock prices are going up because revenue growth is accelerating and margins are staying high.

Company

March 31, 2026
Market Cap

May 14, 2026
Market Cap

Change

Nvidia

$4.24 trillion

$5.73 trillion

35.2%

Apple

$3.73 trillion

$4.38 trillion

17.6%

Alphabet

$3.48 trillion

$4.86 trillion

39.7%

Microsoft

$2.75 trillion

$3.03 trillion

10.4%

Amazon

$2.24 trillion

$2.87 trillion

28.6%

Meta Platforms

$1.45 trillion

$1.57 trillion

8.5%

Tesla

$1.4 trillion

$1.67 trillion

19.4%

Total

$19.29 trillion

$24.11 trillion

25.0%

Data source: YCharts.

Unlike the hot stocks of those previous eras, today’s tech leaders aren’t as constrained by the physical world or consumer appetites. Their digital frontiers offer virtually limitless growth opportunities. Nvidia generates over 90% of its revenue from data centers but has significant upside potential in physical artificial intelligence (AI) across end markets like robotics and self-driving cars. Similarly, the majority of Alphabet’s business is still Google Search, but it also powers its Gemini large language models, which have synergies with YouTube, Google Cloud, and Waymo.

The blueprint for many of today’s largest companies is to pair a reliable stream of cash flow from a proven yet innovative business with a leading position in new markets. The result is a snowball effect. The core business grows, funding new opportunities. Those opportunities eventually reach positive free cash flow and then fund more ventures. The best example is Alphabet, where cash flow from Google Search helped scale YouTube, which in turn provided cash to help grow Google Cloud, which is now contributing to Alphabet’s AI investments and other bets like Waymo. The only limiting factor seems to be antitrust intervention, but that is highly unlikely under the current administration.

Managing risk in today’s market

There’s a lot of talk about how the market is expensive compared to historic valuations. And while it’s true that the S&P 500’s forward price-to-earnings ratio is relatively expensive, the index arguably deserves a premium valuation considering how much higher-quality its components are now than when the S&P 500 was dominated by lower-growth consumer-facing companies, industrial conglomerates, and energy majors.

So while valuation is worth monitoring, at least the premium price is grounded in logic. The bigger concern for individual investors is the composition of the major indexes. A staggering 35% of the S&P 500 was made up of tech stocks as of April 30. If Alphabet, Meta Platforms, Amazon, and Tesla were in the tech sector, it would have been more than half.

Buying and holding an S&P 500 index fund simply doesn’t provide the diversification it once did, because the U.S. stock market has become much more of a growth index. And the Nasdaq-100 is even more extreme. The major indexes can swing based on the performance of a handful of stocks. And a cooldown in the AI investment narrative or AI energy bottlenecks squeezing tighter could spark a major sell-off or even a bear market.

Even with these risks, investors shouldn’t smash the sell button and run for the exits, as buying and holding quality companies tends to pay off over the long term. And the major indexes have had plenty of periods in history when they became overly concentrated, only to balance out over time.

Rather, a better approach is to simply be aware of what’s driving the market and the cracks that could form. If you own index funds or exchange-traded funds that are weighted by market cap, like the S&P 500, then you may have more exposure to growth stocks than your risk tolerance can handle.

Alternatively, investors could consider the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (NYSEMKT: RSP), which weights each S&P 500 component equally rather than by market cap — meaning that a relatively small S&P 500 component like Domino’s Pizza will have the same impact as Nvidia. Another approach could be to invest in funds with less exposure to growth stocks, like the Vanguard Value ETF (NYSEMKT: VTV), which charges an identical 0.03% expense ratio to the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF but doesn’t hold any Magnificent Seven stocks. It holds many of the value-oriented components of the S&P 500, which could make it a good fit for risk-averse investors or folks who don’t want to keep adding to their growth stock positions.

All told, it’s easy to gloss over concentration risks when the market is making new all-time highs. But when the tide goes out, it’s the portfolios that were overly concentrated or leveraged that get exposed.

Should you buy stock in Nvidia right now?

Before you buy stock in Nvidia, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Nvidia wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $472,205!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,384,459!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 999% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 208% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of May 15, 2026.

Daniel Foelber has positions in Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Domino’s Pizza, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, and Vanguard Value ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Source link

Visited 1 times, 1 visit(s) today

Related Article

Nvidia’s trillion-dollar run puts pressure on the bulls

BEIJING, CHINA – MAY 14: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang (C) gestures as he prepares to depart following a welcome ceremony at the Great Hall of the People on May 14, 2026 in Beijing, China. President Trump is meeting with President Xi Jinping in Beijing to address the Iran conflict, trade imbalances, and the Taiwan situation

Permutations in Europe: What’s still at stake in final weeks of season?

There’s still plenty to play for across Europe as we head into the final matches of the club season. Here are all the title races, Champions League fights, and relegation battles left to be decided in the top leagues this month. This story will be updated until the end of the campaign. 👉 Jump to:EPL

Brewing a Better Half-Gallon Batch

Today I finally ran an experiment I’ve wanted to try for a long time. If you’re a professional barista—or you run a busy café—this may save you some time. Most coffee shops use 1–1.5 gallon batch brewers (Bunn, Curtis, Fetco, etc.). When I opened Short Sleeves Coffee, I intentionally avoided brewing full 1-gallon batches. I

5 Frozen Breakfasts Chefs Say Keep You Full All Morning

Chef-approved frozen breakfasts with more protein and better ingredients. Eating a healthy breakfast every morning is a great way to start the day, but most people don’t have time to cook. Whether you’re rushing out the door in the morning for work, taking the kids to school or both, there’s usually not much time in

CA scales back plan to ban student use of cell phones

By Carolyn Jones, CalMatters This story was originally published by CalMatters. Sign up for their newsletters. Until last month, California was poised to join nearly a dozen other states that ban cell phones in K-12 schools. But under pressure from school boards and administrators, lawmakers scaled back a bill that would have required such a

BulkQuant Launches AI Trading Bot for Crypto, Forex, and Stock Markets

BulkQuant Launches AI Trading Bot for Crypto, Forex, and Stock Markets

London, United Kingdom, May 15, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — BulkQuant has officially launched its AI trading bot platform designed for crypto, forex, and stock market traders seeking a simpler way to automate trading strategies across multiple financial markets. The platform combines AI-powered quantitative analysis, automated trade execution, portfolio monitoring, and adaptive risk management into a

IMF lauds resilient Hong Kong economy but warns of risks linked to Middle East war

IMF lauds resilient Hong Kong economy but warns of risks linked to Middle East war

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has lauded the resilience of Hong Kong’s economy, noting a sustained recovery despite economic activity having yet to return to pre-Covid levels, while warning of downside risks stemming from escalating geopolitical tensions. It also urged Hong Kong to pursue medium-term financial reforms, including the introduction of a goods and services

Smithsonian Presidents Exhibit Reopens With Low-Key Trump Impeachment Mention

For the past year, the Smithsonian Institution has found itself in the awkward position of telling the nation’s story while being supported in part by a government that wants to narrow how that story is told. In December, the White House threatened to revoke funding to the institution if it did not hand over a

Marvel’s Daredevil Follow-up Is Already Dominating on Streaming

A follow-up to Daredevil: Born Again Season 2 on Disney+ has become a massive streaming success within days of its launch. The Punisher: One Last Kill has quickly climbed to the top of multiple charts, beating out other titles on the platform. The MCU television special follows the gun-toting vigilante, who finds himself targeted by

Is Now a Bad Time to Invest?

The market has been on a roll lately, with the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) setting new highs throughout May. If you think you missed your opportunity when the market bottomed in late March, don’t fret. The market hitting new all-time highs is not particularly rare and should not change your investment strategy. And if you

6 bids for Hong Kong land sale signal renewed confidence despite market caution

6 bids for Hong Kong land sale signal renewed confidence despite market caution

The Hong Kong government’s first land sale in the current financial year has drawn six bids, according to the Development Bureau, including those from the city’s largest developers, suggesting a more confident outlook for the residential property market. At the close of tender for Tung Chung Town Lot No 54 at Area 106A on Friday

Each Premier League team reranked: Man City rise; Chelsea, Liverpool collapse

Ryan O’Hanlon Close Ryan O’Hanlon ESPN.com writer Ryan O’Hanlon is a staff writer for ESPN.com. He’s also the author of “Net Gains: Inside the Beautiful Game’s Analytics Revolution.”  and  Bill Connelly Close Bill Connelly ESPN Staff Writer Bill Connelly is a writer for ESPN. He covers college football, soccer and tennis. He has been at

Trump departs China after two-day summit

Trump departs China after two-day summit

IE 11 is not supported. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Trump Wraps China Summit With Xi Jinping: What Are the Results? 05:41 Xi gives Trump rare tour of secret garden at heart of Chinese government 01:04 Now Playing Trump departs China after two-day summit 01:01 UP NEXT Special Report: Trump

Carol Chow was facing a bankruptcy petition by five people over unspecified debts at the time of her death. Photo: Dickson Lee

Embattled Hong Kong developer sued for HK$130 million, days after founder’s death

A Hong Kong property developer has been sued for HK$130 million (US$16.6 million) over allegedly breaching guarantor obligations in two bond subscription agreements, becoming the latest lawsuit to implicate the embattled company and following its founder’s sudden death earlier this week. Lofter Group, known for its urban renewal projects across the city’s core districts, and

Trump’s China visit left chip export issue unresolved

This report is from this week’s The Tech Download newsletter. Like what you see? You can subscribe here. One look at the roster of U.S. execs that cozied up to U.S. President Donald Trump on the 20+ hours flight from Alaska to China on Wednesday and you get a sense of the American delegation’s key focus

Why the Cerebras IPO matters for the AI race with China

Why the Cerebras IPO matters for the AI race with China

Cerebras, an AI chipmaker, saw its shares nearly double on Nasdaq, closing up 70% with a $95B market cap. Cerebras’s powerful chips are key in the US-China AI tech race. Chris Buskirk, co-founder and chief investment officer of 1789 Capital, a key Cerebras investor, says the company’s IPO is geopolitically significant. On Thursday, shares of

Fitbit Air vs Whoop Strap Comparison: Price, Features and AI

The Google Fitbit Air is very much the talk of the fitness tracking town right now, not only because it’s the first new Fitbit device that we’ve had in years, but it’s also one of the first big brands to go head-to-head with the established Whoop Strap (if you don’t count the Polar Loop and

If I Could Tell All Investors 1 Thing About the Stock Market Right Now, It’s This

The past year has been a confusing one for many investors, as the stock market has been sending mixed signals. Despite persistent recession warnings, surging inflation, and the war in Iran disrupting global supply chains, major market indexes are thriving. The S&P 500 (^GSPC +0.77%) has delivered total returns of around 33% over the last

0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x