高力:寫字樓租金跌勢未止 料今年最差再插10% 空置率將進一步上升

高力:寫字樓租金跌勢未止 料今年最差再插10% 空置率將進一步上升
高力:寫字樓租金跌勢未止 料今年最差再插10% 空置率將進一步上升

高力最新發布《高力市場報告 | 2025年第一季度》,指出由於減息有望,預期今年香港房地產市場雖然充滿挑戰,但亦不乏機遇。甲級寫字樓空置率預計將會上升,租金將再下跌8%10%

至於零售市場主要由較小型零售商舖和體驗式服務租賃主導,帶動一線街舖租金按年上升2.6%。因物流需求減弱,預計年租金會按年下跌4%。整體投資市場於年初表現審慎,但預計教育相關物業的需求將會上升。

寫字樓由於企業對擴大辦公空間的意欲有限,2025年第一季甲級寫字樓淨需求稍微下降,以致整體租金按季下跌3%至每方呎47.2元。核心區中環/金鐘的租金按季錄得3.8%跌幅,跌幅較其他子市場大。需求則轉向較小型的辦公空間,按租用樓面面積分類,第一季甲級寫字樓的新租賃中,65%的交易涉及淨樓面面積為4,000方呎以下。第一季錄得吸納量按季為負22萬方呎淨樓面面積,空置率達17.5%,而九龍東的空置面積錄得最顯著增幅。高力香港企業客戶服務主管顏慧萍表示鑑於今年約有300萬方呎的寫字樓進入市場,空置率將進一步上升,預計2025年租金將再下跌8%10%

零售商舖儘管2025年首兩個月的零售總額按年下跌7.8%,但一線街舖整體租金按季上升1.3%,按年升2.6%,而中環亦跑贏大市,租金按季升1.9%。高力香港研究部主管及零售顧問咨詢李婉茵稱,預計內地企業今年仍是零售租賃市場的主要驅動力。未來數季,隨著啟德體育園啟用,進一步提振入境旅遊,預料零售市場勢將造好。

另外工業物業由於潛在的貿易糾紛帶來不確定性,物流服務需求仍然疲弱,以致租金按季跌1.7%,按年挫5.7%。高力香港企業客戶服務主管顏慧萍指,潛在貿易糾紛帶來的不確定性持續之際,預計未來數季的租賃仍主要受續約所帶動。而愈來愈多業主採取較靈活的策略,包括減租和提供誘因以吸引或挽留租戶,預計年租金會按年下跌4%

由於投資者觀望減息的確定性,年初投資市場表現審慎總成交金額按季下跌36%63億元。酒店物業佔總成交金額的45%,超過28億元。2025年第一季,寫字樓和工業資產的資本價值分別按季下跌1.1%1.2%。預期年全年,寫字樓資本價格將進一步按年下跌5%10%。高力香港資本市場及投資服務主管翟聰指出,未來數季,可見市場出現多個可把握投資機遇的跡象。市場普遍仍對聯儲局今年減息步伐保持樂觀,本地借貸成本可能在年中左右下降,同時銀行會繼續出售經收回的物業,為潛在買家提供機會。

此外,本地教育機構將在下學年大幅擴大招收非本地學生的人數,使投資者對教育領域的興趣和交易增加,包括學生宿舍、學習中心和校舍。

即睇全港各區最新筍盤、一手盤、二手盤及樓市走勢等資訊 (House730)

原文刊登於 AM730

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