Intel took 25 years to get back to its dot-com peak — and lost it in 6 months: Chart of the Day

Half off sounds like a deal. On Wall Street, it can be the start of a much bigger sale.

Right now, Intel (INTC), Arm (ARM), Sandisk (SNDK), and CoreWeave (CRWV) are among the AI darlings trading at less than half their 2026 highs, and chip stocks just lost nearly 30% in five weeks.

Stocks are rallying early Monday, and most chip stocks are extending Friday’s bounce. Nvidia (NVDA) is a notable exception, initially falling 8% but clawing back losses, while Intel rallies over 3%.

Veteran trader Michael Martin isn’t biting. “Lower prices mean lower market cap. It doesn’t mean better value,” said Martin, founder of TraderMindset.com, who works with Wall Street legend Victor “Trader Vic” Sperandeo.

“I keep hearing Gordon Gekko’s voice in the back of my mind — ‘A fool and their money are lucky to get together in the first place,’ ” he told Yahoo Finance.

His bigger worry is traders who talk themselves into holding on. “Don’t confuse investor language with trader language,” he said. “If you’re a trader, be a trader.”

Martin’s favorite example is Intel. “A lot of people think like, wow, Intel was 125. I can get it now for half that. It’s a bargain,” he said. “But at 55 or whatever it is, you can see 40 long before you’re gonna see 140.”

Intel’s own history backs him up. The stock peaked at about $75 in August 2000, was down to half by October, and kept going, bottoming near $13 in 2002.

It didn’t close above that dot-com peak again until April 24, 2026. Loyal holders got a victory lap to about $141 in June before the AI selloff dragged the stock back below its old high on Oct. 30. Intel closed Friday at $56, still up about 50% this year.

Long-term chart of Intel's stock price since the 1980s, with a dashed line at its 2000 peak near $75. The stock fell to about $13 in 2002, climbed above the 2000 peak in April 2026 to a high near $141 in June, and dropped back to about $56 in November.
Intel stock spent more than 25 years below its 2000 peak before topping it in April 2026, then fell back below it six months later. · Yahoo Finance AlphaSpace

Intel had plenty of company. Five other dot-com leaders also kept falling after first being cut in half, from another 30% for Microsoft (MSFT) to another 88% for Amazon (AMZN), according to Yahoo Finance calculations.

None of that makes investor language wrong. Amazon now trades at nearly 50 times its 2000 peak.

But that’s an investor’s clock. Trouble starts when a trade gets judged on one.

Bar chart of how much further seven dot-com-era leaders fell after first being cut in half from their 2000 peaks: Amazon 88%, Cisco 76%, Qualcomm 73%, Oracle 67%, the Nasdaq 100 64%, Intel 63% and Microsoft 30%.
Yahoo Finance

Martin, a discretionary trader for four decades, offers guidelines, not rules.

Size it small. If you’re just scalping or trading a bounce, think $100 for every $100,000 in an account, or one-tenth of 1%.

Don’t take losses home. “If you buy something on Tuesday … if it’s showing a loss by Friday, it has to trade.”

Know your clock. Younger investors “can buy quality names and hold them forever.” Near retirement, “your first order of business here is to play superior defense.”

When in doubt, sit it out. “Harvest some cash here and wait.”

Martin’s last guideline comes from hedge fund legend Paul Tudor Jones: risk $1 only where you see $5 or more of upside, a risk-reward ratio of at least 5-to-1. It “doesn’t mean it’s gonna show up,” Martin said, but the payoff has to be there before you trade.

“You need to see massive amounts of asymmetry in this type of a market.”

Internal AI tools helped analyze interview transcripts, research, and draft this post. Humans reviewed, edited, and fact-checked this post before publication.

Jared Blikre is the global markets and data editor for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on X at @SPYJared or email him at jaredblikre@yahooinc.com.

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