A Year Ago We Said the SMR Rally Was Just Heating Up. Oklo and NuScale Both Fell Sharply.

Quick Read

  • Oklo (OKLO) crashed 81% and NuScale (SMR) collapsed 86% in one year, both still generating near-zero revenue with no commercial reactors online.

  • NuScale’s NRC certification moat proved worthless without orders, as revenue fell 99% and shares outstanding nearly tripled through dilution.

  • Analysts still target 137% upside for Oklo and 81% for NuScale, but binding contracts must replace promises before either stock can meaningfully rerate.

  • Just released. Our analysts combed the entire stock market and named the ten best stocks to buy right now, and Oklo Inc. didn’t make the cut. Enter your email to see the names that beat OKLO. The report is free. Enter your email and see if any of your stocks made the cut.

Small modular reactor (SMR) developers Oklo (NYSE:OKLO) at $31.78 per share and NuScale Power (NYSE:SMR) at $6.49 both face unresolved execution risk today. A year ago, 24/7 Wall St. called NuScale a strong buy and Oklo a buy on dips in “Nuclear Fever: Oklo and NuScale Soar, Is the SMR Rally Just Heating Up?” That call was wrong by a wide margin. Over the past year, Oklo fell 81.4% and NuScale fell 85.8%.

A grayscale photo of black industrial barrels stacked on wooden pallets inside a warehouse, with translucent financial charts overlaid. The charts include red and blue candlesticks, a pink line graph showing a downward trend, and dark red bar graphs, collectively emphasizing a market decline.
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Both remain development-stage companies, with financials to match. Oklo has trailing revenue of $1.21 million. NuScale booked $75,000 last quarter. Neither sells commercial power. When the original piece ran, Oklo traded at $135.23 after a 537% year-to-date run, and NuScale traded at $46.77 after a 160% gain. 24/7 Wall St. projected 30% to 50% upside for NuScale and 50% to 100% upside for Oklo on dips.

Which Pieces of the SMR Thesis Survived the Year

The bullish thesis rested on three pillars:

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  • The U.S.-U.K. Atlantic Partnership for Advanced Nuclear Energy

  • The promise of NRC licensing timelines reduced from three to four years to roughly two

  • AI data center power demand

That demand held up: data centers are the largest driver of U.S. electricity demand, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. The White House still targets 400 gigawatts of nuclear capacity by 2050. The story the market priced was that faster permits meant near-term revenue. A year later, NuScale has no definitive TVA agreement, and Oklo has no commercial Aurora unit.

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