The English Premier League is entering its defining stages. With the leaders looking to keep the chasing pack behind and margins continuously shrinking, each new Premier League matchday brings a surge of betting opportunities.
We have five games to target on today’s EPL schedule, and our staff has come up clutch with picks for three of them. So, continue reading for our Premier League best bets for Saturday, February 28.
English Premier League Best Bets
The club logos in the table below represent each match that our soccer betting staff is targeting from today’s games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
West Ham United vs. Liverpool
Liverpool has won their last two Premier League games by a narrow 1-0 margin. However, they have not achieved three consecutive wins without conceding a goal since Arne Slot’s initial three matches in charge last season.
West Ham are in excellent form, having collected 11 points from their last six Premier League games, the same as in their last 18 matches. Last week against Bournemouth, the Hammers recorded an xG of 2.87 from 20 shots, the highest for any team that did not score in a Premier League match this season. This suggests they might be expected to score at least once at Anfield, particularly since Liverpool have kept just one clean sheet at home in their last five games.
According to our in-house model, the Reds have a 63.8% chance of victory, the highest among Premier League teams this weekend, and a 55.2% chance of both teams scoring. Combining these bets offers a chance to more than double your stake.
Pick: Liverpool To Win and Both Teams To Score – Yes
Everton vs. Newcastle United
Everton’s recent away form is reasonable, but they face a Newcastle side that thrives at St. James’ Park. Newcastle have lost just three of their 18 home matches across all competitions since the start of October, netting an average of 2.06 goals per game. Eddie Howe’s side has won 12 of those matches.
Newcastle have won six of their seven home league matches against teams currently outside of the Premier League’s top seven, scoring two goals or more in six of those matches.
The underlying data also suggests that Everton should lose this game. They have generated 9.03 fewer xG (expected goals) than Newcastle this season. Eddie Howe’s side has also had more xG than their opponents in 11 of their 13 home league games, with the exceptions being against Arsenal and Manchester City.
Pick: Newcastle To Win
Manchester City vs. Leeds United
The two goals Leeds scored at the Etihad Stadium should provide the squad with a steady belief that this Manchester City defence can be exploited at Elland Road. Not only that, but going off City’s performance against Newcastle last time out, it’s glaringly obvious that City are susceptible to conceding against teams willing to commit bodies into the final third.
On the other hand, Leeds United have failed to score in only three of 13 home games. That’s the joint-third best return for teams scoring one goal or more at home in the Premier League.
Leeds typically benefits from playing Premier League games in the evening, with the Elland Road factor amplified under the lights. If Daniel Farke’s side can utilise the advantage of the home crowd, Man City will not have it all of their own way on Saturday evening.
Pick: Man City To Win & Both Teams to Score – Yes
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