Shocking Layoffs (Up to 10%) Could Be Bearish for These 2 Tech Stocks

Two of the biggest names in artificial intelligence (AI) just announced big job cuts. On Thursday, Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) announced that it’s offering early retirement to up to 7% of its U.S. workforce. On the same day, Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) said it would be laying off 10% of its employees (about 8,000 jobs) and ending plans to hire for 6,000 new job openings.

The stock market initially reacted harshly to the job cuts. META shares declined about 2.3% on Thursday, while MSFT was down about 4% that day. Both tech stocks recovered some losses on Friday but were still trading below their previous levels.

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MSFT data by YCharts

Let’s take a closer look at what these job cuts might mean for META and MSFT investors.

MSFT and META job cuts: AI revolution or AI washing?

The biggest reason for Meta’s and Microsoft’s layoffs and job cuts appears to be AI. Both tech companies are investing heavily in AI data centers and other AI capital expenditures. Both are trying to use AI to boost productivity and develop products.

But do these layoffs mean that Meta and Microsoft are successfully using AI to get more productive and profitable? This could be an example of “AI washing,” where companies use AI as an excuse to lay off workers — not because AI is replacing people, but because the companies are betting too heavily on expensive AI capital expenditures (capex) and overhyped AI products.

If Meta and Microsoft are truly boosting productivity with AI, that would be good news for AI stock investors. But companies that are AI washing might see bigger stock price declines in the future.

A person looks at a laptop with a worried expression on their face.
Image source: Getty Images.

Microsoft: Will AI replace all workers in 2027?

The news about Microsoft’s early retirement packages was a surprise. According to Bloomberg, this is the first time the company has ever offered voluntary buyouts of this scale.

Microsoft executives didn’t comment publicly on the reason for the buyouts. But CEO Satya Nadella had previously said that AI is handling up to 30% of the company’s coding work. And in February, Microsoft AI executive Mustafa Suleyman predicted that within the next 12 to 18 months, AI would be able to replace most white-collar work. If that’s true, the company’s early retirement buyouts will be a drop in the bucket compared to future mass unemployment for tech workers.

I’m skeptical. I don’t believe AI tools like Microsoft Copilot will become good enough to replace all software developers, digital marketers, and other human “knowledge work” professionals anytime soon. It sounds arrogant and aggressive when company executives proclaim that their all-powerful product will put everyone out of a job — they want us to believe that, because that’s what they’re selling.

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