USD/CAD Analysis Today-18/12: Bullish Yet Vulnerable (Chart)

The USD/CAD is within sight of highs from the climatic days of coronavirus in March and April of 2020, this time around it is because financial institutions are nervous about economic ramifications via the incoming Trump White House.

USD/CAD Analysis Today-18/12: Bullish Yet Vulnerable (Chart)

  • Traders who have a bias towards the Canadian Dollar and believe the USD/CAD is overbought and have been looking for downside to suddenly emerge have a problem on their hands.
  • The implications of the dislike between President-elect Donald Trump and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau are having a chilling effect on the Canadian Dollar.

It isn’t only that Donald Trump has threatened tariffs/ sanctions against Canada if they do not help with security on the U.S border, and trade agreements between the two nations that Trump finds unfair. It is also because in the past couple of years Prime Minister Trudeau had stated publicly his dislike of Trump. And while the Prime Minister is not being scolded for this, he now is facing the consequences having to negotiate with a President-elect that is in a much more stable political situation compared to his own.

Behavioral Sentiment and Consequences for the USD/CAD

Some Forex traders may question what the significance of the above is on the USD/CAD. The U.S is Canada’s largest trading partner. The USD/CAD was trading near 1.34250 on the 23rd of September. The USD/CAD is now trading around the 1.43225 mark at the time of this writing. The currency pair is trading within sight of highs during the height of initial coronavirus fears when the USD/CAD touched the 1.45000 and 1.46000 levels in March and April of 2020. The Trump effect has been real on the USD/CAD.

While it is justified to say all major currencies have struggled against the USD since late September and certainly into the U.S election results from the first week in November, the USD/CAD has not seen a tranquil resting place emerge as it continues to prove resistance is vulnerable. The U.S Fed FOMC Statement later today is not likely to add to optimism for the USD/CAD. The Fed is expected to lower its Federal Funds Rate by 0.25, but if the U.S central bank sounds overtly cautious about future outlook the interest rate cut today might not soften the viewpoints of nervous financial institutions.

Near-Term Volatility and Resistance Levels for the USD/CAD

The USD/CAD is traversing highs that are difficult to judge technically except to say the currency pair will eventually stabilize, but the question is when exactly. Breaking through the 1.40000 in the middle of November and trading above this level in a sustained manner since the 29th of November is a warning sign that financial institutions remain nervous about the dynamics between Trump and Canada.

  • The negotiations between the incoming White House and Canadian government have already started in many respects.
  • The USD/CAD is within high values and the past two days have produced more buying.
  • Some speculators might want to test the existing trend with selling positions, but the currency pair may remain choppy in the near-term and its ability to go higher early this week is a signal financial institutions are not ready yet to reverse their nervous outlooks.

Canadian Dollar Short Term Outlook:

Current Resistance: 1.43275

Current Support: 1.431175

High Target: 1.43750

Low Target: 1.42960

Ready to trade our daily Forex analysis? We’ve made a list of the best forex brokers in Canada for beginners to trade Forex worth using. 

Source link

Visited 1 times, 1 visit(s) today

Related Article

Get our exclusive guide to EUR/USD trading in Q4 2024

The Price Breaks the Two-Year Support Zone

EUR/USD has breached the support level at 1.05500, and selling momentum has strengthened the current downtrend in the chart.   The Federal Reserve (Fed) has emphasized slowing down the pace of interest rate cuts, a move that could be crucial in maintaining the strength of the U.S. dollar over the long term.   EUR/USD has

20241219gbpjpyH1

GBP/JPY eyes break of its 2015 high

The Bank of Japan held their interest rate at 0.25% as widely expected, and there is little expectation for them to fire up their hawkish engines by any meaningful degree soon. The Bank of England also meets shortly and is also likely to hold their interest rate, at a much higher 4.75%. And recent data

GBP/USD Signal Today - 19/12: Sterling Faces Risk (Chart)

GBP/USD Signal Today – 19/12: Sterling Faces Risk (Chart)

Created on December 19, 2024 Bearish View Sell the GBP/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.2490. Add a stop-loss at 1.2800. Timeline: 1-2 days. Bullish View Set a buy-stop at 1.2715 and a take-profit at 1.2800. Add a stop-loss at 1.2500. The GBP/USD pair remained on edge after the UK published the November consumer

Nasdaq 100 Index Plummets After Fed Decision

On 17th December, analysing the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), we: → Drew a blue upward channel relevant for 2024; → Noted that the price was near the upper boundary of the channel, while the RSI indicator had entered the overbought zone; → Suggested that bulls might face difficulties in pushing

20241220forex

Yen thrown overboard post BOJ, ASX selloff looks stretched

The BOJ held their interest rate at 0.25%, but it seems there was still some hope they might have raised rates, given the yen’s response. Even if the odds of a hike yesterday were greatly diminished, just a few weeks ago the odds firmly backed one. Furthermore, their tone was quite dovish, indicating that the

EURUSD Daily Chart 12202024

EUR/USD Defends Yearly Low to Keep RSI Above 30

US Dollar Outlook: EUR/USD EUR/USD appears to be defending the yearly low (1.0333) as it rebounds from a fresh monthly low (1.0343), with the recovery in the exchange rate keeping the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 30. US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Defends Yearly Low to Keep RSI Above 30 EUR/USD may track the November range

BTC/USD Forecast Today: Holds $100K Support (graph)

BTC/USD Forecast Today: Holds $100K Support (Chart)

Created on December 20, 2024 During my analysis of Bitcoin, the first thing that comes to attention is the fact that the $100,000 level continues to be very important. This is obviously a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and I would venture to say there are probably a lot of options traders willing to get

GO Markets Review 2024 - Investing.com

GO Markets Review 2024 – Investing.com

Transparent Fee Structure GO Markets offers competitive and transparent pricing with minimal fees to ensure cost-effective trading for all clients. Account Minimum There is no minimum deposit requirement for either the Standard or GO Plus+ accounts, making the platform accessible to traders with varying budgets. Trading Fees The Standard Account charges no commissions, with costs

Drops Amid USD Strength -Video

Drops Amid USD Strength -Video

Created on December 20, 2024 As you can see, the Euro initially did rally against the US dollar during the trading session on Thursday, but it has been slapped right back down. I think it’s probably only a matter of time before the Euro drops down to the parity level, possibly lower than that, because

Australia court: Clients at USGFX reps EuropeFX and TradeFred lost $83M

Australia court: Clients at USGFX reps EuropeFX and TradeFred lost $83M

Australia financial regulator ASIC has reported that the Australia Federal Court has unveiled another side of the bankruptcy of former AFS licensed CFDs broker USGFX, indicating that the “unconscionable conduct” that led to the demise of USGFX went well beyond its own four walls. The 2020 bankruptcy of USGFX operator Union Standard International Group Pty

GBP/USD technical forecast

GBP/USD Outlook: Pound Slides as Rate Cut Bets Grow

Three BoE policymakers were ready to lower borrowing costs. Data revealed that UK retail sales missed forecasts, increasing by 0.2%. The US economy expanded by 3.1% in the fourth quarter, above estimates of 2.8%. The GBP/USD outlook shows growing enthusiasm among pound bears as Bank of England rate cut expectations increase. At the same time,

USD/CAD technical price analysis

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Political Stability Restores Loonie

Canada’s new Finance Minister, Dominic Leblanc, took office, restoring political calm. The US economy grew by 3.1% in the fourth quarter. US jobless claims dropped more than expected last week. The USD/CAD price analysis suggests political calm in Canada, which has given the loonie some strength against the shining dollar. Meanwhile, market participants eagerly await

USD/MXN Forecast Today - 19/12: USD Rallies vs MXN (Chart)

USD/MXN Forecast Today – 19/12: USD Rallies vs MXN (Chart)

Created on December 19, 2024 The US dollar has rallied rather significantly during the trading session on Wednesday, as the FOMC in the United States cut interest rates by 25 basis points. It wasn’t necessarily that the cut itself is a surprise, it has more to do with the fact that the forward guidance suggests that

Sees a Small Pullback (Video)

Sees a Small Pullback (Video)

Created on December 19, 2024 The Bitcoin market fell a bit during the early hours on Wednesday as we wait for the FOMC meeting, the FOMC meeting and interest rate, press conference statement all come into the picture to drive the value of the US dollar. Now, while the Federal Reserve is expected to cut

GBP/USD technical forecast

GBP/USD Forecast: Dollar Surges Amid Hawkish FOMC

The greenback jumped after the Fed forecasted fewer rate cuts in 2025. Forecasts revealed that the Fed might only lower rates by 50 bps. Inflation jumped from 2.3% to 2.6% in the three months to October. The GBP/USD forecast shows renewed support for the USD despite FOMC’s rate cut. The Fed left a hawkish statement

EUR/USD Forecast Today 19/12: Weakened Before FOMC (Video)

EUR/USD Forecast Today 19/12: Weakened Before FOMC (Video)

Created on December 19, 2024 The euro initially rallied during the trading session on Wednesday but has turned around to show signs of negativity. But ultimately this is a market that I think is just killing time ahead of the FOMC meeting that occurs about three hours after I record this video. And as things

Gold Analysis Today 19/12: Attempts Recovery (graph)

Gold Analysis Today 19/12: Attempts Recovery (Chart)

Created on December 19, 2024 During Thursday’s trading, the gold price is attempting to recover yesterday’s losses, which exceeded 2%, as the gold price index plummeted to the support level of $2583 per ounce. This is the lowest price in a month, following the US Federal Reserve’s hawkish announcement. Today, Thursday, attempts to recover the

Forex Signals Brief December 6: All Eyes on the NFP After the Weak US Jobs Data This Week

Brazil Sells $8 Billion to Avoid More Depreciation

eth-usd Ignacio Teson•Thursday, December 19, 2024•1 min read Add an article to your Reading List Register now to be able to add articles to your reading list. ” aria-hidden=”true”> Share in Facebook “> Amid mounting economic challenges, the Central Bank of Brazil has resorted to extreme measures to stabilize its currency. On Thursday, the bank

0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x