US PPI Surges to Highest Since 2022 as Upstream Inflation Pressures Intensify

US producer prices surged far more than expected in April, reinforcing concerns that inflation pressures are broadening across the economy and strengthening the case for the Federal Reserve to keep policy restrictive for longer. Headline PPI rose 1.4% mom, accelerating from 0.7% mom previously and well above expectations of 0.5% mom. The increase marked the largest monthly rise since March 2022.

The details of the report showed inflation pressures spreading across both services and goods categories. Nearly 60% of the monthly increase came from a 1.2% mom rise in final demand services prices, while final demand goods prices climbed 2.0% mom. Core producer prices excluding foods, energy, and trade services increased 0.6% mom, matching the strongest monthly gain since October 2025 and suggesting that underlying inflation momentum remains firm even beyond volatile commodity categories.

On an annual basis, headline PPI accelerated sharply from 4.3% yoy to 6.0% yoy, far exceeding expectations of 4.9% yoy and marking the strongest yearly increase since December 2022. Core PPI excluding foods, energy, and trade services rose 4.4% yoy, the highest since February 2023.

The report is likely to reinforce market expectations that the Fed will remain firmly on hold in the near term, while also increasing concern that rising energy prices linked to the Middle East conflict may now be feeding more persistently into broader inflation across the economy.

Indicator Previous Latest
Headline PPI (MoM) 0.7% 1.4%
Headline PPI (YoY) 4.3% 6.0%
Ex Food, Energy & Trade (MoM) 0.6%
Ex Food, Energy & Trade (YoY) 4.4%
Final Demand Services 1.2%
Final Demand Goods 2.0%

Full US PPI release here.

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