The week ahead is relatively quiet for major Canadian data releases, but industry reports will offer important signals about the economy’s momentum heading into spring. Early signs from Statistics Canada’s advance estimates suggest wholesale trade for April on Thursday and manufacturing sales next Friday should show the sectors finding their footing after significant disruptions to

Canadian Highlights Canada’s labour market remained soft in April, with employment down and the unemployment rate rising to 6.9%. Canada’s trade balance returned to surplus in March on stronger commodity exports, though net trade is still likely to subtract from Q1 GDP growth. A soft labour market and weak ex-energy trade should keep the Bank

Having seen a high around the 1.36450 mark on Wednesday, the GBP/USD went into this weekend around 1.36274. The currency pair has been correlating to the global Forex market in a straightforward manner per USD centric sentiment depending on what time of the day it is. While that sentence may seem to be a bit

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EUR/CHF edged lower last week but failed to get rid of 0.9155 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.8979 to 0.9264 at 0.9155) cleanly. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.9177 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9264 resistance. However, sustained trading below 0.9155 will turn

Gold The gold market has initially felt during the week only to turn around and show signs of strength again. The $4,600 level continues to be very important, and I think you need to watch this very closely as it is an area that has caused both support and resistance multiple times in the past.

EUR/AUD’s fall from 1.6842 extended lower last week but recovered ahead of 1.6125 low. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. On the downside, decisive break of 1.6125 will resume larger fall from 1.8554. Nevertheless, break of 1.6371 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound

EUR/GBP recovered last week as it failed to break through 0.8610 support. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, firm break of 0.8610 will carry larger bearish implications and pave the way to 0.8466 fibonacci level next. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8676 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound

EUR/JPY edged lower to 182.01 last week but rebounded since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Break of 182.01 will extend the fall from 187.93 to 180.78 support. Nevertheless, firm break of 185.02 will suggest that pullback from 187.93 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting this high. In

GBP/JPY stayed in range of 210.43/214.21 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Below 210.43 will extend the fall from 216.58 to 209.58 support first. However, firm break of 214.21 will argue that the pullback from 216.58 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting this

USD/CAD recovered last week but upside is capped by 1.3709 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, below 1.3549 will extend the fall from 1.3965 to retest 1.3480 low. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.4791. However, sustained break of 1.3709 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn

AUD/USD edged higher to 0.7277 last week as up trend continued, but retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations. Further rise is expected as long as 0.7101 support holds. Above 0.7277 will target 61.8% projection of 0.6420 to 0.7187 from 0.6832 at 0.7306. In the bigger picture, rise from 0.5913 (2024

USD/CHF’s decline from 0.8041 resumed last week. Initial bias stays on the downside this week. Firm break of 61.8% projection of 0.8041 to 0.7774 from 0.7923 at 0.7758 will target 100% projection at 0.7656. On the upside, above 0.7808 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first. In the bigger picture, as long as

EUR/USD stayed in range below 1.1848 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral, and further rise is expected with 1.1642 support intact. On the upside, firm break of 1.1848 will target 1.2081 high next. However, firm break of 1.1662 support will indicate the the rebound from 1.1408 has completed, and bring deeper

Markets spent last week aggressively chasing the AI-driven equity rally while largely ignoring geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Despite renewed uncertainty over a promised peace deal, stocks surged to new records while Dollar weakened broadly on strong risk appetite. S&P 500 followed NASDAQ to fresh records, while Asia’s major technology-heavy benchmarks exploded higher as

USD/JPY dipped to 155.01 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 155.01 will resume the fall from 160.71 to 152.25 support next. On the upside, however, firm break of 157.92 will indicate that pullback from 160.71 has completed, and turn bias back to the

GBP/USD stayed in range trading below 1.3657 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral for consolidations, and further rise is expected with 1.3453 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.3657 will target 61.8% projection of 1.3158 to 1.3598 from 1.3453 at 1.3725 first. Firm break there will target a retest on

Equities maintain a “risk-on” rally, defying the market disconnect from elevated oil prices and rising interest rate expectations. The US market faces a pivotal week with the final Powell-led CPI report expected on Tuesday, ahead of the Fed Chair handover to Kevin Warsh on May 15. Geopolitical tensions remain high following US/Iran strikes, though a

USD/JPY is holding near 156.83 on Friday. Despite heightened volatility in recent sessions, the yen is set to end the week broadly unchanged. Fears of intervention and Tokyo’s firm rhetoric have failed to support a sustained strengthening of the currency. Japanese authorities have stated that they are not constrained by the frequency of their interventions

In today’s Market Outlook, let’s take a look at Forex Trading on WTI, Brent Crude Oil, the NASDAQ, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Gold, XAUUSD, and Silver XAGUSD. As a matter of course, we watch price action on gold and silver, and they are both following similar paths. Price broke out of a downtrend, rose,