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For consumer products giant Newell Brands (NWL), the business of making Sharpie pens, Graco baby car seats, and Rubbermaid food storage supplies will likely be costlier as Trump tariffs take effect.
Its CEO would tell the president that very story if they met.
“I would tell him that I think tariffs play an important role. I’m not against tariffs. I think tariffs are better applied selectively for strategic categories than universally, is my personal point of view. I think there are critical industries that are important to rebuild in the US, and I think there are other industries that may be less important to rebuild in the US,” Newell Brands CEO Chris Peterson told me on Yahoo Finance’s Opening Bid podcast (watch above; listen in below).
Peterson had just joined Newell Brands as CFO in 2018 during the first Trump administration, after operational stints at Revlon, Ralph Lauren (RL), and Procter & Gamble (PG). He is currently a board member of retailer BJ’s Wholesale (BJ), a competitor to Costco (COST) and Walmart’s (WMT) Sam’s Club.
Newell has invested $2 billion in US manufacturing since the 2017 Trump tax cuts went into effect. Even still, it relies on China for more than 10% of its sourcing, Mexico for 5%, and a small amount from Canada. The company may rationalize its Mexico manufacturing capacity if the tariffs remain in place for an extended period of time, Peterson noted.
Watch: How billionaire investor Ray Dalio is navigating markets
He said the Trump tariff climate is different this time around.
“In the first Trump administration, there were tariffs put on China, but he also went through a process where there was an exclusion process and the ability for companies to go and petition to have certain product categories exempted so that the tariffs were applied more selectively as opposed to universally,” Peterson recalled.
“In this administration, there’s a different focus, I think, on the tariff discussion where the administration is looking at trade imbalances and trying to use tariffs against many different companies in a more universal fashion. And so that has created, at least in the short term, a lot more uncertainty.”
The uncertainty on tariffs among the C-suite is well deserved.
The Trump administration imposed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico last Tuesday. Trump abruptly suspended goods that comply under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) two days later but hinted that tariffs on each country would happen in April. Noncompliant goods are currently subject to the new tariffs.
Read more: What Trump’s tariffs mean for the economy and your wallet
China got hit with a 10% tariff on almost all imports in early February. The tariff rate was raised to 20% last week.
Tariff news is hitting the stock market as investors price in reduced earnings power for companies.
The S&P 500 posted its third consecutive week of losses with a drop of 3.1% last week, its worst weekly fall since early September.
Markets were walloped early on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) down more than 500 points in premarket trading.
BCA Research’s veteran strategist Peter Berezin said in a new piece of research that he sees a 75% chance of a recession within the next three months.
“Conventional estimates understate the likely impact on economic activity from the trade war and DOGE cuts. This implies that growth will slow more than expected,” Berezin wrote.
Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius has raised his US recession probability to 20% from 15%.
Peterson isn’t in the recession camp just yet but is concerned about what tariffs will do to lower-income shoppers as they continue to deal with inflationary pressures.
“The low-income consumer remains under significant pressure because the cumulative effect of inflation over the last several years has outpaced wage growth. The middle- and high-income consumer is still in very good shape. They continue to see very strong balance sheets from home price appreciation, from equity market appreciation, and we’re seeing those consumers continue to spend on our categories,” Peterson adds.
Three times each week, I field insight-filled conversations and chats with the biggest names in business and markets on Opening Bid. You can find more episodes on our video hub or watch on your preferred streaming service.
Brian Sozzi is Yahoo Finance’s Executive Editor. Follow Sozzi on X @BrianSozzi, Instagram, and LinkedIn. Tips on stories? Email brian.sozzi@yahoofinance.com.
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