Tottenham will avoid dropping into the Championship this season despite their significant Premier League relegation fears, according to Opta’s supercomputer.
Spurs suffered a dismal 3-0 home defeat by Nottingham Forest on Sunday to increase concerns about the club facing the drop for the first time since 1977, with Igor Tudor’s side now in 17th place and just one point clear of West Ham in 18th.
Tottenham’s last league win came against Crystal Palace on December 28, 13 games ago, and they have taken only one point from Tudor’s five top-flight matches in charge.
However, according to Opta, Spurs – who have lost six of their past seven games – will avoid relegation by one point, with West Ham the team the data backs to take the final relegation spot alongside Burnley and Wolves.
The model gives Tottenham a 27.10 per cent chance of relegation, compared to 57.48 per cent for West Ham.
Nottingham Forest’s position has been significantly boosted by Sunday’s triumph in North London, with Vitor Pereira’s side only given an 8.74 per cent likelihood of returning to the Championship for the first time since 2022.
Opta’s supercomputer believes that Tottenham will avoid relegation by one point this season
Igor Tudor’s side are one point clear of the drop after Sunday’s humbling by Nottingham Forest
Elsewhere, Leeds face a 6.80 per cent chance of going down to the second tier, with Crystal Palace the only other team in the running, according to Opta – although a disastrous capitulation for Oliver Glasner’s men is only measured at 0.05 per cent.
Wolves have a 99.94 per cent chance, meaning their relegation is all but certain as per the data, with Burnley’s verdict similarly damning at 99.89 per cent.
In their final seven games, Spurs face trips to Sunderland, Wolves, Aston Villa and Chelsea, with their three home matches coming against Brighton, Leeds and Everton.
The Opta model has also given a predicted points total, with Wolves expected to finish bottom of the Premier League on 25 points, one point behind Burnley on 26.
West Ham are predicted to amass 37 points, with Tottenham on 38, Forest on 41, Leeds on 42 and Palace on 48.
Speaking after Sunday’s humbling defeat, Bruno Saltor, Tottenham’s assistant coach who was filling in for Tudor, tried to remain upbeat despite the challenging situation.
‘Every mistake right now is going against us, every detail is going against us and it affects the players as well,’ he said.
‘You can see how much they are fighting. We are in a difficult situation, everyone knows. In the first half we were the better team and we need to be consistent with that.
| Team | Points tally | Chance of relegation (per cent) |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace (14th) | 48 | 0.05 |
| Leeds (15th) | 42 | 6.80 |
| Nottingham Forest (16th) | 41 | 8.74 |
| Tottenham (17th) | 38 | 27.10 |
| West Ham (18th) | 37 | 57.48 |
| Burnley (19th) | 26 | 99.89 |
| Wolves (20th) | 25 | 99.94 |
The supercomputer claimed West Ham will take the third relegation spot alongside Wolves and Burnley
‘We were 1-0 down and wanted to be a little more aggressive with players coming back from injuries. It didn’t work as planned but it was our intention.
‘It hurts us, it is painful, really painful, but the fans were outstanding today – from before the game until the end of the game.’
Saltor continued: ‘We need to carry on because we care, we care for Spurs, we are family and want to get out of this situation.
‘I am 100 per cent sure we can get through this situation.’
Spurs do have a three-week break before their next fixture and Tudor, if he remains in the role, will hope to welcome back the likes of Mohamed Kudus and Rodrigo Bentancur from injury over the international break.
Meanwhile, the supercomputer also predicted that Arsenal will win the title, while it backed Man City, Man United, Aston Villa and Liverpool to make up the top five.
