Stock Market Predictions: Wall Street’s Complete 2026 Outlook



TIMOTHY A. CLARY / AFP via Getty Images

  • Wall Street’s top banks are lining up to deliver their year-ahead outlooks.
  • Bullish forecasts cite robust earnings growth, AI-driven gains, and potential Fed rate cuts
  • Banks expect continued US economic growth and expanding AI investments.

The bull market turned three this year, and Wall Street thinks you should be gearing up to celebrate another big run in 2026.

Analysts at top banks have rolled out their predictions for where they think the market is headed in the coming year. Their forecasts are looking strong across the board, with most expecting US stocks to punch higher as the Fed cuts interest rates, earnings grow, and the US economy continues to chug along.

Despite some recent volatility in the tech sector, stocks are still firmly in bull market territory after back-to-back years of double-digit gains. The S&P 500 is up 17% year-to-date, and has gained 79% since the end of 2022.

Those returns have largely been fueled by the hype for artificial intelligence — a frenzy that’s sparked concerns of a stock market bubble and has shown more cracks in recent weeks as investors survey high valuations and seemingly endless AI spending among top tech firms.

Even so, the market has room to grind higher, according to the top analysts.

Here’s the rundown of forecasts and price targets from the big banks.

Bank of America


Bank of America


Eduardo Munoz Alvarez/VIEWpress

S&P 500 price target for 2026: 7,100

Upside from current levels: +3%

Core thesis: BofA’s prediction is on the lower end, but it still expects S&P 500 earnings to grow 14% for the year. That should help power the market higher, but gains could be held back by factors like fewer stock buybacks, fewer Fed rate cuts than expected, and the possibility that the Fed will only cut rates if the US economy looks weak.

“In 2026, earnings will do the lift,” strategists wrote in their year-ahead outlook. “Liquidity is full blast today, but the direction of travel is likely less not more,” they added.

JPMorgan


JPMorgan Chase logo


ANGELA WEISS/AFP via Getty Images

S&P 500 price target for 2026: 7,500

Upside from current levels: +9%

Core thesis: The bank is eyeing above-trend earnings growth of 13%-15% for at least the next several years. That should help sustain high valuations in the stock market, alongside a boom in AI-related capital expenditures, larger shareholder payments, and fiscal stimulus from President Donald Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill.

HSBC


HSBC


Mike Kemp/In Pictures via Getty Images

S&P 500 price target for 2026: 7,500

Upside from current levels: +9%

Core thesis: Global stocks will keep rallying next year as the AI trade expands beyond the hyperscalers that have positioned themselves at the center of the artificial intelligence craze. Investors can expect to see earnings growth slow down for the Magnificent Seven, while earnings pick up in the rest of the S&P 500.

The broadening of the rally is generally considered a healthy trend among investors, who want to see more breadth and less reliance on just a few stocks to drive more gains.

HSBC thinks US economic growth will remain solid, a factor that should help cyclical stocks outperform.

RBC


RBC


Nick Lachance/Toronto Star via Getty Images

S&P 500 price target for 2026: 7,750

Upside from current levels: +12%

Core thesis:

The bank said it had determined its price target based on various models that project the S&P 500’s return based on factors like sentiment, valuations, and economic and monetary policies.

Investor sentiment is at levels that are sending a “contrarian buy signal” for long-term investors, the bank said. Strategists added expected solid earnings growth and expected rate cuts from the Fed to prop up the market, though subdued economic growth could be a drag on stock returns.

Morgan Stanley


Morgan Stanley


Mike Kemp/In Pictures via Getty Images

S&P 500 price target for 2026: 7,800

Upside from current levels: +13%

Core thesis: Stocks will get a lift next year from strong corporate earnings and a “rolling recovery” in the economy that’s expected to pick up steam, Morgan Stanley strategists said. The bank referred to its previous view that the US was in the midst of a “rolling recession,” where a downturn hits the economy in various sectors at different times.

“We believe that we’re in the midst of a new bull market and earnings cycle, especially for many of the lagging areas of the index,” strategists wrote.

Deutsche Bank


Deutsche Bank


Thomas Lohnes/Getty Images

S&P 500 price target for 2026: 8,000

Upside from current levels: +16%

Core thesis: Earnings growth is expected to accelerate to around 14% next year, which will help drive the stock market higher. Valuations in the S&P 500 should be supported by higher payout ratios, fewer large earnings declines, and inflation remaining below its long-term average.

“Our demand-supply framework suggests mid-teens returns on the back of positioning rising from neutral, a continued cross-asset inflows boom benefiting equities, and buybacks rising in line with earnings,” the bank wrote a client note.



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恒指半日跌285點 信達生物挫8% 北水轉流出 (12:08) – 20251208 – 即時財經新聞

恒指今早低開17點,高位升66點,低位跌298點,高低波幅364點。上升股份比例為20.67%,下跌為40.08%,無升跌為39.23%。 恒指半日跌285點或1.1%,報25799點,大市成交金額1154億元;國指跌105點或1.15%,報9092點。恒生科技指數收報5648點,跌0.24%。 藍籌股成交金額561.16億元,佔大市成交48.62%;科指成份股成交金額330.97億元,佔大市成交28.68%;國指成份股成交金額514.42億元,佔大市成交44.57%。 24隻雙櫃台股,總成交0.37億元人民幣,相當於約0.4億港元,佔大市成交的0.04%。 窩輪及牛熊證成交金額減少15.51%,至114.12億元,佔大市成交9.88%。牛熊證成交金額62.4億元,減少19.53%;窩輪成交金額51.72億元,減少10.09%。 藍籌9隻升,79隻下跌,1隻無升跌。百度(9888)升3.29%,收報125.6元,是升幅最大的藍籌,信達生物製藥(1801)跌8.48%,收報84.2元,是跌幅最大的藍籌。 恒生科技指數成份股6隻升,23隻下跌,1隻無升跌。升幅最大的是華虹半導體(1347)收報78.8元,升3.62%;跌幅最大的是浙江零跑科技(9863)收報51.25元,跌3.03%。 恒指跌穿10天線(25933.68點)、100天線(25834.16點),曾升穿20天線(26075.93點)。科指曾升穿20天線(5666.79點)。 北水南下合計淨流出0.28億元,終止連續7日流入北水本月累計流入113.22億元,按月減少90.71%,金額是2023年12月後新低,連續第30個月流入。北水交易成交額(包括買入及賣出交易)500.78億元,較上日減39.44%,佔香港市場成交額由上日的19.64%增至21.69%。 破頂股表現 創上市新高股包括,萬成集團股份(1451)高見1.53元,收報1.5元,升11.94%;中國重汽(3808)高見30.7元,收報29.92元,跌1.38%;金茂源環保(6805)高見2.6元,收報2.55元,無升跌;德益控股(9900)高見5.5元,收報5.27元,升1.15%;中國平安-R(82318)高見56.3元,收報56元,升2.75%;雲迹(2670)高見198元,收報192.6元,升1.74%;創新實業(2788)高見19.2元,收報18.4元,跌3.21%;卓越睿新(2687)高見89.5元,收報86.6元,升28.3%。 創52周高股包括,美的集團(0300)高見92.15元,收報90.8元,跌0.71%;平保(2318)高見62元,收報61.75元,升2.15%;中國人壽(2628)高見28.94元,收報28.16元,跌0.21%;九龍建業(0034)高見4.07元,收報3.98元,跌2.21%;國銳生活(0108)高見4.28元,收報3.88元,跌2.51%;信能低碳(0145)高見0.37元,收報0.325元,升54.76%;冠忠巴士集團(0306)高見3.05元,收報2.96元,升4.96%;旭日企業(0393)高見1.41元,收報1.4元,跌0.71%;國際資源(1051)高見11.48元,收報11.3元,升2.73%;中聯重科(1157)高見7.97元,收報7.89元,跌0.13%;虎視傳媒(1163)高見0.205元,收報0.189元,升5.59%;滉達富控股(1348)高見0.25元,收報0.193元,升16.27%;中國金石(1380)高見0.95元,收報0.92元,升37.31%;景聯集團(1751)高見1.74元,收報1.69元,升18.18%;俊裕地基(1757)高見1.63元,收報1.57元,升1.29%;LEGION CONSO(2129)高見0.168元,收報0.163元,升27.34%;港燈-SS(2638)高見6.32元,收報6.29元,跌0.32%;久泰邦達能源(2798)高見1.28元,收報1.22元,跌1.61%;LFG投資控股(3938)高見1.78元,收報1.64元,升8.61%;亦辰集團(8365)高見2.5元,收報2.45元,升0.41%;君百延集團(8372)高見0.14元,收報0.14元,升18.64%。 破頂指數成份股包括,美的集團(0300)創52周高,見92.15元,收報90.8元,跌0.71%;平保(2318)創52周高,見62元,收報61.75元,升2.15%;中國人壽(2628)創52周高,見28.94元,收報28.16元,跌0.21%;中國平安(2318)創52周高,見62元,收報61.75元,升2.15%。 破底股方面 8隻股份創上市新低,包括昊天國際建投(1341)低見0.093元,收報0.095元,跌2.06%;快餐帝國(1843)低見0.103元,收報0.106元,跌3.64%;一脈陽光(2522)低見8.9元,收報9.15元,跌13.19%;中國奧園(3883)低見0.086元,收報0.088元,跌5.38%;九毛九(9922)低見1.69元,收報1.69元,跌3.43%;重塑能源(2570)低見89元,收報89.8元,跌23.18%;佑駕創新(2431)低見10.98元,收報11.14元,跌5.43%;聖貝拉(2508)低見4.07元,收報4.12元,跌3.96%。 26隻股份創52周低,其中十隻包括,星光集團(0403)低見0.161元,收報0.177元,升1.72%;天大藥業(0455)低見0.103元,收報0.103元,跌3.74%;中港石油(0632)低見0.265元,收報0.275元,跌16.67%;建業地產(0832)低見0.067元,收報0.07元,跌5.41%;美東汽車(1268)低見1.47元,收報1.47元,跌4.55%;知行集團控股(1539)低見0.31元,收報0.315元,無升跌;佳兆業集團(1638)低見0.107元,收報0.11元,跌0.9%;中慶股份(1855)低見1.36元,收報1.42元,升1.43%;海昌海洋公園(2255)低見0.465元,收報0.51元,跌1.92%;應力控股(2663)低見0.25元,收報0.26元,跌1.89%。 異動股 上升異動股,包括,TOPSTANDARDCORP(8510)收報0.183元,升55.08%;信能低碳(0145)創52周高,見0.37元,收報0.325元,升54.76%;中國金石(1380)創52周高,見0.95元,收報0.92元,升37.31%;雅高控股(3313)收報0.18元,升36.36%;吉星新能源(3395)收報0.28元,升33.33%;華音國際控股(0989)收報0.83元,升29.69%;卓越睿新(2687)高見89.5元,收報86.6元,升28.3%;通達宏泰(2363)收報0.41元,升28.13%;LEGION CONSO(2129)創52周高,見0.168元,收報0.163元,升27.34%;怡園酒業(8146)收報0.255元,升24.39%;新銳醫藥(6108)收報0.3元,升22.45%。 下跌異動股,包括,名科國際(8100)收報0.23元,跌32.35%;重塑能源(2570)創上市新低,見89元,收報89.8元,跌23.18%;中國煤層氣(8270)收報0.255元,跌22.73%;興銘控股(8425)收報0.075元,跌21.88%;烯石電車新材料(6128)收報0.228元,跌20%;CMON(1792)收報0.048元,跌18.64%;京西國際(2339)收報1.96元,跌17.65%;中港石油(0632)見52周低0.265元,收報0.275元,跌16.67%;世紀金花(0162)收報0.048元,跌15.79%;亞東集團(1795)收報0.72元,跌14.29%;銀諾醫藥(2591)收報38.06元,跌13.5%。 其他報道 港元拆息普遍向下 1個月息連升4日 創一周高 內地11月美元計價出口轉增5.9% 勝預期 HKTVmall英國首家無人店In:Five停運 MediaCity分店仍在測試中 百度一度升逾半成 擬就分拆崑崙芯進行評估 Netflix聯席CEO曾就收購華納兄弟 游說特朗普 和黃醫藥旗下三款藥獲醫保續約 恒指低開17點 卓越睿新上市升23% 納芯微無升跌 果下科技IPO 入場費約2030.26元 夜期高水36點 卓越睿新、納芯微上市 貝森特:美國經濟將以3%的增速結束2025年 特朗普對Netflix收購華納兄弟提反壟斷擔憂 北水增持建行 減持昊天國際建投 Source link

港元拆息普遍向下 1個月息連升4日 創一周高 (11:22) – 20251208 – 即時財經新聞

彭博終端機數據顯示,港元現報7.7801元升值46點子,曾貶值最多7點子,報7.7854元,亦曾升值最多56點子,報7.7791元,是11月28日7.7778元後最強。 港元拆息、港元存息(彭博社綜合利率)可看附圖。彭博終端機於2024年6月1日起停止提供港元隔夜平均指數(HONIA)數據。 HIBOR 短線拆息方面,隔夜HIBOR跌28.98點子至1.79048%,是12月3日後最低;1星期HIBOR跌9.7點子至2.1575%,是12月4日後最低;2星期HIBOR跌8.04點子至2.25917%,是12月4日後最低。 中長線拆息方面,3個月期HIBOR跌1.53點子至3.05661%,是12月4日後最低;6個月期HIBOR升0.07點子至3.10042%,是12月4日後最高;12個月期HIBOR跌0.17點子至3.1353%,是8月26日後最低。 貨幣基礎 貨幣基礎方面,上日總額增44.15億元,至總數20333.15億元,是8月5日後最高。當中的負債證明書(Certificates of Indebtedness)較上一日增43.5億元,至總數6329.15億元,是1月28日後最高。政府發行的流通紙幣及硬幣較上一日增0.04億元,至總數131.82億元,是10月30日後最高。收市總結餘為538.77億元,較再上一日減0.2億元,總結餘是12月3日後最低。未償還外匯基金票據及債券較上一日增0.61億元,至總數13333.41億元,是12月3日後最高,其中,持牌銀行所持有數額較上一日減0.39億元,至總數11571.75億元,是12月1日後最低。 總結餘變動原因 上日退還貼現窗拆出資金0.2億元。 美匯美息 美元指數現報98.881貶值0.111點或0.11%。 美元1個月期 CME Term SOFR上日報3.77733%,將同一日的港元1個月期HIBOR減美元1個月期 CME Term SOFR的利差為-0.7086%,連續3日收窄,利差是2025年11月28日後最窄,當日差距為-0.6813%。 對上一次連續3日收窄,是2025年11月24日,當日利差報-1.3078%。 上海銀行同業拆息(Shibor) Shibor全線向上。短線拆息方面,隔夜Shibor升0.1點子至1.302%,是12月4日後最高;1星期Shibor升1點子至1.426%,是12月3日後最高;2星期Shibor升0.9點子至1.517%,是11月28日後最高;1個月期Shibor升0.1點子至1.521%,是11月12日後最高。 中長線拆息方面,6個月期Shibor無升跌報1.62%,是12月5日後最低;6個月期Shibor無升跌報1.62%,是12月5日後最低;1年期Shibor無升跌報1.65%,是12月5日後最低。 其他報道 內地11月美元計價出口轉增5.9% 勝預期 HKTVmall英國首家無人店In:Five停運 MediaCity分店仍在測試中 百度一度升逾半成 擬就分拆昆侖芯進行評估 Netflix聯席CEO曾就收購華納兄弟 游說特朗普 和黃醫藥旗下三款藥獲醫保續約 恒指低開17點 卓越睿新上市升23% 納芯微無升跌 果下科技IPO 入場費約2030.26元 夜期高水36點 卓越睿新、納芯微上市 貝森特:美國經濟將以3%的增速結束2025年 特朗普對Netflix收購華納兄弟提反壟斷擔憂 北水增持建行 減持昊天國際建投 Source link

恒指低開17點 卓越睿新上市升23% 納芯微無升跌 (09:26) – 20251208 – 即時財經新聞

藍籌32隻升,40隻下跌,16隻無升跌。百度 (9888)升3.29%,報125.6元,是升幅最大的藍籌,海爾智家(6690)跌2%,報26.52元,是跌幅最大的藍籌。 恒生科技指數成份股13隻升,13隻下跌,4隻無升跌。升幅最大的是百度(9888)收報125.6元,升3.29%;跌幅最大的是海爾智家(6690)收報26.52元,跌2%。 恒指上試20天線(26089.35點)。科指上試20天線(5667.69點)。 個股表現 卓越睿新(2687)上市,定價67.5元。開市報83.6元,升23.85%。 納芯微(2676)上市,定價116元。開市報116元,無升跌。 中國人民保險(1339)副總裁涉嫌嚴重違紀違法被查。開市報7.12元,升1.57%。 百度(9888):正評估分拆崑崙芯來港上市 不保證會進行。開市報125.6元,升3.29%。 煤氣(0003)孵化怡斯萊據報擬棄英取港上市 最快明年下半年掛牌。開市報7.16元,跌0.28%。 冠忠巴士(0306)潛在售畢棚溝景區旅遊業務 或構成主要交易。無成交,報2.82元。 國航(0753)、東航(0670)、南航(1055)公布日本相關航線退票安排。國航開市報6.46元,升0.31%。 東航(0670)無成交,報4.74元。 南航(1055)開市報5.41元,升0.93%。 現代牙科(3600)非執董陳冠峰饋贈控股股東Triera 50%股權予家族信託。無成交,報5.14元。 喜相逢(2473)與哈囉租車內地10城市開展汽車租賃業務。開市報8.1元,無升跌。 破頂股表現 創上市新高股包括,卓越睿新(2687)高見83.6元,開市報83.6元,升23.85%。 創52周高股包括,中國人壽(2628)高見28.36元,開市報28.36元,升0.5%;國銳生活(0108)高見4.09元,開市報4.09元,升2.76%;旭日企業(0393)高見1.41元,開市報1.41元,無升跌;中聯重科(1157)高見7.97元,開市報7.97元,升0.89%;中國金石(1380)高見0.77元,開市報0.77元,升14.93%。 破頂指數成份股包括,中國人壽(2628)創52周高,見28.36元,開市報28.36元,升0.5%。 破底股方面 創上市新低,包括一脈陽光(2522)低見10.18元,開市報10.18元,跌3.42%。 異動股 上升異動股,包括,卓越睿新(2687)創上市新高,見83.6元,開市報83.6元,升23.85%;中國金石(1380)創52周高,見0.77元,開市報0.77元,升14.93%;滉達富控股(1348)開市報0.19元,升14.46%;雅高控股(3313)開市報0.151元,升14.39%;細葉榕科技(8107)開市報0.36元,升14.29%;瑞和數智(3680)開市報1.59元,升13.57%;中國華星(0485)開市報0.36元,升12.5%;寶發控股(8532)開市報0.011元,升10%;泰坦能源技術(2188)開市報0.205元,升9.63%;九方智投控股(9636)開市報57.7元,升9.49%;中國置業(0736)開市報0.79元,升8.22%。 下跌異動股,包括,重塑能源(2570)開市報105.2元,跌10.01%;三寶科技(1708)開市報0.25元,跌7.41%;合景泰富(1813)開市報0.15元,跌6.83%;強泰環保(1395)開市報0.142元,跌5.33%;中國智能交通(1900)開市報0.275元,跌5.17%;海昌海洋公園(2255)開市報0.495元,跌4.81%;小馬智行(2026)開市報111.1元,跌4.31%;一脈陽光(2522)創上市新低,見10.18元,開市報10.18元,跌3.42%;壹照明(8222)開市報0.031元,跌3.13%;普匯中金國際(0997)開市報0.032元,跌3.03%。   其他報道 果下科技IPO 入場費約2030.26元 夜期高水36點 卓越睿新、納芯微上市 貝森特:美國經濟將以3%的增速結束2025年 特朗普對Netflix收購華納兄弟提反壟斷擔憂 北水增持建行 減持昊天國際建投 Source link

Prediction: These 3 Stocks Could Be Worth More Than Apple 3 Years From Now

High valuation metrics prop up Apple’s market valuation. Apple (AAPL 0.75%) is the world’s second-largest company after Nvidia (NVDA 0.56%), with a market cap of about $4.2 trillion. That’s a monster business, but I don’t think it will stay in second place for long. I don’t think it will become the world’s largest company, either.

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(Bloomberg) — The bond market’s reaction to the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate cuts has been highly unusual. By some measures, a disconnect like this, with Treasury yields climbing as the central bank lowers rates, hasn’t been seen since the 1990s. What the divergence indicates is a matter of heated debate. Opinions are all over the place,

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Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg (Bloomberg) — There’s a time when investments run their course and the prudent move is to cash out. For global asset managers who’ve ridden double-digit gains in equities for three straight years, that time is not now. “Our expectation of solid growth and easier monetary and fiscal policies supports a risk-on tilt

Could Buying SoFi Stock Today Set You Up for Life?

It’s up 92% this year. The S&P 500 is hitting new highs, and there are signs of a potential stock market bubble. But whatever happens in the short term, the stock market has been a reliable wealth generator for decades, as long as investors hold through volatility. Is there a stock market bubble? Will it

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