Market Strategist Predicts 32% Stock Market Crash, How Will This Affect Crypto?

Peter Berezin, chief global strategist at BCA Research, has predicted that the stock market will experience a significant crash by 2025. His prediction is noteworthy, given the impact that a decline in the stock market could have on the crypto market.

Market Expert Predicts 32% Crash In Stock Market

Berezin mentioned in an interview that the S&P 500 will decline by 32% and drop to 3,750 by next year. He explained that this downtrend would occur due to a recession in the US, which he predicts could happen at year-end or early 2025. He claimed that the reduction in consumers’ spending is already hinting at this recession as households have no savings to spend and banks are tightening their lending standards.

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Berezin also alluded to the rising unemployment rate, which he noted shows that the labor market is weakening and hints at an imminent recession. The market strategist warned that the Federal Reserve’s tightening monetary policy will make matters worse as the Central Bank continues to “drag its feet” in cutting interest rates.

A potential decline in the stock market could negatively impact the crypto market, given Bitcoin’s strong positive correlation with the S&P 500 at times. Whenever this happens, Bitcoin’s price, and by extension, the broader crypto market, is known to move in the same direction as the stock market. 

Furthermore, based on Berezin’s analysis, a recession could have the same impact on the crypto market since consumers will have less to invest in Bitcoin and altcoins, which could cause trading volumes to dry up and lead to price declines for these crypto tokens. The crypto market has also shown that it is not immune to macroeconomic factors, considering how it has reacted to the Fed’s decision not to reduce interest rates just yet. 

Some Positive For Bitcoin And The Crypto Market

The US June Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data was released on July 11. It provided a positive for Bitcoin and the crypto market, showing that the inflation rate dropped by 0.1% from May and put the annual rate at 3%, the lowest over three years. This development has further strengthened the call for the Fed to cut interest rates, as inflation is cooling off in the country. 

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A cut in interest rates would boost investors’ confidence in investing more capital in risk assets like Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Meanwhile, there is the belief that the Fed could cut interest rates by September if the monthly inflation data continues to show that inflation is slowing in the country. 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $57,000, down almost 2% in te last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. 

Crypto total market cap from Tradingview.com (Stock market)
Total market recovers from lows | Source: Crypto Total Market Cap on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told private investors during a meeting on Tuesday that the spiraling trade war between the United States and China was unsustainable and that he expects a “de-escalation” soon, according to a report from the Associated Press (AP). Newsweek has reached out to the White House for comment on Tuesday. The Context

Tesla profits plunge as Musk promises he’s ready to step away from role at DOGE

CNN  —  Elon Musk says he’s coming back to Tesla, partly stepping away from his high profile and controversial Trump administration role that has been blamed for a plunge in profits and sales at the company. Musk told Tesla investors on Tuesday that he would scale back his efforts at Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)

Trump says he has ‘no intention’ to fire Fed Chair Powell : NPR

Trump said he does not intend to fire Powell after he has attacked the Federal Reserve Chair for not lowering interest rates. Andrew Harnik/Getty Images North America hide caption toggle caption Andrew Harnik/Getty Images North America President Trump said Tuesday he had “no intention” of firing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, ending days of speculation

US markets rally as Treasury secretary says China trade war is ‘unsustainable’

Unlock the White House Watch newsletter for free Your guide to what Trump’s second term means for Washington, business and the world Wall Street stocks rallied and oil prices climbed on Tuesday as the US Treasury secretary said a trade war with China was “unsustainable”. Scott Bessent told investors at a conference hosted by JPMorgan

How firing Fed Chair Powell would backfire on Trump

President Trump is openly mulling the termination of Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who won’t give Trump the interest rate cuts he wants. If Trump really wants lower rates, however, the best person to fire would be himself, not Powell. If Trump had not enacted a vast set of reckless tariffs during the past two months,

China tariff fight will de-escalate

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told investors in a closed-door meeting Tuesday he expects “there will be a de-escalation” in President Donald Trump‘s trade war with China in the “very near future,” a person in the room told CNBC. “No one thinks the current status quo is sustainable” with tariff rates at their current levels, Bessent

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