Manchester United (8-5-6) and Leeds United (5-8-6) will face off today at 7:30 a.m. EST at Elland Road in Leeds, England.
Manchester United is priced at a +170 and Leeds at +160, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-125o/+100u) goals.
Let’s get into my Man United vs. Leeds prediction.
Manchester United vs. Leeds Prediction
Pick: Leeds +0 Asian Handicap
My Man United vs. Leeds best bet is backing the home team on the Asian handicap line.
Manchester United vs. Leeds Odds
Sunday, Jan 4
7:30 a.m. ET
| Man U Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|
+0.5 -195 |
2.5 -125o / 100u |
+170 |
| Leeds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|
-0.5 +140 |
2.5 -125o / 100u |
+160 |
Manchester United vs. Leeds Pick
Pick: Leeds +0 Asian Handicap (-115)
Leeds United continues to defy early-season expectations in their return to the Premier League. Their current form suggests they have more than enough quality to cause serious problems for a Manchester United team that has struggled with consistency.
The home side comes into this matchup on a six-game unbeaten streak in league play and has lost just twice all season at Elland Road.
A major key to their success has been a potent attack at home. Leeds has found the back of the net in 16 of its last 17 top-flight matches on its home turf.
This offensive pressure is spearheaded by Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who is in sensational form. The striker has scored seven goals in his last seven league appearances and was unfortunate to have another goal disallowed for a narrow offside call in a recent draw with Liverpool.
On the other side, Manchester United presents a mixed bag of results and performances. The team was second-best in expected goals in its recent 1-1 draw against a Wolves side that had lost 12 consecutive matches.
The Red Devils will also be without key attackers Amad Diallo and Bryan Mbeumo, who are away on international duty, which could limit their offensive spark.
Given Leeds’ consistency at home and United’s current issues, backing the home side on the Asian handicap line seems like a smart approach for this Manchester United vs Leeds United pick.
Manchester United vs. Leeds Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Man U | Draw | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 42.7% | 24.7% | 32.6% |
Projected Total Goals
| Man U | Total Goals | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 1.52 | 2.83 | 1.30 |
Manchester United vs. Leeds Betting Analysis
The betting market for this contest is almost perfectly balanced, which reflects the unpredictable nature of this matchup. Oddsmakers give Manchester United a slight edge with a 38% implied probability to win, while Leeds is right behind at 37%. This tight pricing indicates no clear favorite.
Manchester United has aspirations for European competition, but its defensive record on the road is a major concern. The club has conceded 16 goals in just nine Premier League away games this season.
This vulnerability will be tested by a Leeds team that thrives in front of a vocal home crowd at Elland Road. The home side has built a comfortable cushion above the relegation zone and will look to build on a recent stretch of strong results, including an impressive point earned at Anfield.
The player prop markets highlight the expected offensive threats. Leeds forward Dominic Calvert-Lewin is a favorite to score at any time, a reflection of his incredible run of seven goals in seven games.
The odds suggest a match with plenty of attacking action from both teams, but United’s defensive frailty away from home could be the deciding factor.
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