Inside Trump’s tariff retreat: How fears of a bond market catastrophe convinced Trump to hit the pause button



CNN
 — 

President Donald Trump’s abrupt decision to reverse course on his sweeping tariff plan by announcing a three-month pause revealed his threshold for political pain: One week.

“They were getting yippy,” Trump said, explaining the rising criticism raining down on the White House over the last week. “They were getting a little bit yippy, a little afraid.”

Even for a president famous for his policy bobs and weaves, Wednesday’s announcement he was pausing his long-touted reciprocal tariffs for three months amounted to a stunning reversal of a plan he had appeared only a day earlier to be fully behind and came as his own trade representative was testifying on Capitol Hill to the benefits of the tariffs, seemingly catching him unaware of the pause.

Days of pressure from fellow Republicans, business executives and even his close friends hadn’t appeared to move Trump, who insisted last week: “MY POLICIES WILL NEVER CHANGE.”

By Wednesday, however, it had become evident the campaign to convince Trump to change course would not let up. It had also become plain after a sharp sell-off in US government bond markets — usually a safe corner for investors — that the economic ramifications of the president’s strategy were potentially catastrophic and worse than his advisers had previously predicted.

The growing alarm inside the Treasury Department over developments in the bond market was a central factor in Trump’s decision to hit pause on his “reciprocal” tariff regime, according to three people familiar with the matter.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent raised those concerns directly to Trump Wednesday in a meeting that preceded the pause announcement, underscoring concerns shared by White House economic officials who had briefed Trump on the accelerating selloff in the US Treasury market earlier in the day.

Calls to top White House advisors from key business community allies also increasingly focused on the troubling developments in the bond market as they made the case for Trump to pull back.

Trump had not yet made the decision to pause the dramatic new tariff rates when he was posting on social media about the stock market Wednesday morning, two of the people said.

Treasury secretary on Trump backing down on tariffs

00:54

But he acknowledged later in the afternoon that he’d been watching the bond market turmoil closely.

“The bond market is very tricky, I was watching it,” Trump told reporters. “The bond market right now is beautiful. But yeah, I saw last night where people were getting a little queasy.”

Sitting in the Oval Office to tap out his announcement, Trump was joined by two advisers who had become dueling faces of the tariff plan: Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick.

“We didn’t have access to lawyers or – it was just wrote up. We wrote it up from our hearts, right? It was written from the heart, and I think it was well written too, but it was written from the heart,” Trump said afterward, describing a process driven more by impulse than mapped-out strategy.

Even as Trump calmed the markets – for now, at least – he also raised new questions by suggesting he would consider exempting some US companies from tariffs, saying he would make any such decisions “instinctively.”

It was another whirlwind Wednesday at the White House, with advisers scrambling to keep pace with the president’s decisions. He sought to take a victory lap after one of the most humbling retreats of his presidency, eager to take credit for the stock market gains Wednesday – without mentioning the record-setting, trillion-dollar losses over the last week.

“It’s the biggest increase in the history of the stock market. That’s pretty good,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office. “If you keep going, you’re going to be back to where it was four weeks ago.”

If Trump was planning early Wednesday to pause his new tariffs after days of market turmoil, he did not reveal his intentions widely. Many White House officials heard of his decision at the same time the world learned, via post on Truth Social, that the new tariffs were on pause.

Even his own top trade official seemed only vaguely aware the change was possible by the time Trump announced the reversal on social media.

“It looks like your boss just pulled out the rug from under you and paused the tariffs,” Democratic Rep. Steven Horsford of Nevada told US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer during a hearing that was underway on Capitol Hill when Trump made his announcement. Greer had offered zero indication to that point the major shift was coming.

Bessent and other officials insisted the decision to pause the new tariffs on all nations except China was not a backdown; instead, they framed the move as all part of Trump’s master plan to bring nations to the negotiating table.

“It took great courage, great courage for him to stay the course until this moment,” said Bessent, who flew to Palm Beach last weekend for a lengthy discussion with Trump on the endgame of the tariffs.

Even as his advisers danced around it, though, the president acknowledged that the rising criticism, deepening angst and mounting losses in the financial markets contributed to his abrupt decision on Wednesday afternoon to impose a three-month pause on many of the tariffs.

“I thought that people were jumping a little bit out of line,” Trump told reporters.

The administration’s economic team spent Wednesday morning intensely focused on the bond selloff that had intensified a day earlier and accelerated aggressively overnight, driving yields higher and, in effect, demonstrating the exact opposite of what would normally happen during such an unstable and volatile moment in the global economy.

Historically, Treasurys rally in moments of stock market selloffs as investors rush to shift assets to a global safehaven, the longstanding status due to the safety and liquidity provided by the US market.

Watching the inverse play out, then accelerate after unexpectedly weak demand at the first Treasury Department auction to take place since Trump’s announced his tariff regime, led to growing alarm even as Bessent dismissed it as “uncomfortable, but normal” in a Wednesday morning television interview.

But for Bessent, whose finance career was deeply intertwined with the bond market and who has been fixated on driving down the 10-year yields in his cabinet post, the alarm relayed by senior Treasury officials was understood and reflected in the later conversation with Trump.

The president, who is a close monitor of his own coverage on television, had seen even some of his close allies issue dire warnings about the prospects of a recession as a result of the tariffs. He was watching Fox Business channel on Wednesday morning when JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said a recession was “a likely outcome” of an escalating trade war resulting from Trump’s tariff policies.

“Markets aren’t always right, but sometimes they are right,” Dimon told Fox Business’ Maria Bartiromo.

Inside the White House, telephone calls had been coming quickly from business executives, Republicans and other allies of the President urging him to reconsider his tariffs, but they received little indication a pause was in the works.

Executives had been lighting up the phone lines of chief of staff Susie Wiles, Vice President JD Vance, and Treasury secretary Scott Bessent to make the case to Trump directly as trade hawks continued to promote Trump’s tariffs-at-all-costs approach on television as the market continued to sink.

Wiles, these sources said, had been particularly effective in convincing Trump that the market rout was costing considerable political capital that he would need for future agenda items, with lawmakers fielding increasingly angry constituent calls as the market continued sinking.

Bessent, whose conversation with Trump in Florida over the weekend focused on zeroing in on the overall goal of the tariffs, also appeared to assume more of a role in the public messaging, talking frequently about the dozens of countries now jockeying for trade deals.

“This was driven by the President’s strategy. He and I had a long talk on Sunday, and this was his strategy all along,” Bessent said on Wednesday.

Trump, however, acknowledged he’d been keeping a close eye on markets, calling their performance “glum” over the last few days.

A week after making a tariff announcement that upended the global trading system, the president stood outside the White House in front of three colorful race cars and reflected on what led to his retreat. He sought to take credit for a problem largely of his own making, saying his credibility was not eroded by the whiplash.

“You have to have flexibility,” Trump said. “I think in financial markets, because they change, look how much you change today.”

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雅生活指,截至今日公告日期,公司與雅居樂控股存在貿易應收款項等與關聯方的結餘。經過公平磋商,雅居樂控股及公司達成協議,後續將以現金對價償還集團對雅居樂控股的應收款欠款,使集團能收回部分到期應收款項,消減相關壞賬風險。  相關報道:雅生活老臣子黃奉潮辭任執董 雅生活指,該等目標主要從事環保相關業務,預計可與公司城市服務板塊的業務有機結合,形成一定的地域及客戶協同效應。該等目標具備獨立運營及拓展能力,經營性現金流可覆蓋自身業務發展需要,預計不會對其主營業務和現金流產生任何重大影響。 集團或將尋求與第三方合作經營,通過出租廠房或設備等,或將該等目標股權出售予第三方,以換取現金回報。未來,集團仍將聚焦物業管理主業,以輕資產模式發展核心業務,持續加強回款力度和現金流管理,積極就應收款項結餘與各方磋商,保障回款措施有效落地。 集團又同時修訂股息政策,自2025年財政年度起生效,預期每年派付不低於核心歸母淨利潤25%的股息,惟須受以下載列的考慮因素所規限,包括經營業績; 現金流量; 財務狀况;對公司派付股息之法定及監管限制; 集團的未來前景;及董事會認爲有關的其他因素。 其他報道 萬利去年蝕387萬美元 中港收入按年大增  關稅政策影響有限 太航:今年首季日均營運活動利潤升61% 貿易戰觸發噸位航距增加 關稅戰丨黃仁勳:英偉達續改善符監管要求產品體系 堅定不移服務中國市場 澳門博彩業大展G2E及相關博覽會首次跨渡假村舉行 Mastercard:首季整體簽帳額有增長 惟港零售業及餐飲業市道依然嚴峻 中聯通首季按年多賺5.6% 移動用戶淨增748萬戶 裕元料上季盈利倒退最多25%至7500萬美元 中國鐵塔首季純利升8.6% 香港機場3月客運量增10.4%  中東歐洲需求帶動貨運量升4.8% 財經花生丨港交所陳翊庭登時代雜誌百人榜 打敗99%港上市公司CEO 內地蘑界 · 野生菌石鍋雞在港首設境外店 選址沙田新城市廣場 中國3月全國城鎮不包含在校生的16至24歲勞動力失業率降至16.5% 惠譽:美國今年對中國有效關稅率料多於100% 降內地GDP預測至3.9% 恒指收市升338點 成交、波幅、北水流入降 北水交易額佔比則創月內次高 關稅戰丨黃仁勳應中國貿促會邀請再次到訪北京 羅奇:中美貿易戰是一場沒有贏家的惡性競爭 Hermes首季銷售增7%遜預期 大中華地區客流量跌 滬深三大指數午後個別發展 滬指連升八日 Hermes:5月1日起美國市場加價 應對關稅 騰訊:未來三年新增28000校園招聘職位 涵蓋大模型、研發等職能 台積電第一季賺3616億元幣 勝預期 霸王茶姬美國IPO 據報以近上限定價 集資4億美元 Source link

六福上季同店銷售跌10% 本月港澳市場見單位數升幅 (19:35) – 20250417 – 即時財經新聞

美國關稅政策持續影響全球經濟,令中美關係更見緊張,內地政府正著力構建「雙循環」戰略佈局,大力促進內需和推出多項政策扶持樓市及資本市場。集團因此對於內地中長線業務前景仍感審慎樂觀,未來仍將會擴展內地市場。再者,集團看好海外市場的龐大發展潛力,將投放更多資源積極拓展海外市場,並積極於海外市場開店。  零售值方面,第四季港澳零售值按年跌11%,內地按年增1%,整體按年跌2%﹔零售收入方面,第四季港澳零售收入按年跌11%、內地按年增20%、整體按年跌1%。 店舖數目方面,集團指第四季度各地區表現均優於前三季,當中中國內地市場全面轉正,其零售值、零售收入及同店銷售分別為增1%、增20%及增2% 。 在定價黃金產品逐步取代鑽石產品的成功策略下,集團定價首飾產品的銷售扭轉跌勢,其同店銷售增長12%。 集團全球擁3287間店舖,第四季淨減少店舖56間,整體店舖調整速度較前三季有所緩和 。 其他報道 恒隆地產與房委會合作  青年創業家免租6個月入駐商場 雅生活逾6000萬人幣購母企環保業務 修訂股息政策每年最少派25%盈利 雅生活老臣子黃奉潮辭任執董 萬利去年蝕387萬美元 中港收入按年大增  關稅政策影響有限 太航:今年首季日均營運活動利潤升61% 貿易戰觸發噸位航距增加 關稅戰丨黃仁勳:英偉達續改善符監管要求產品體系 堅定不移服務中國市場 澳門博彩業大展G2E及相關博覽會首次跨渡假村舉行 Mastercard:首季整體簽帳額有增長 惟港零售業及餐飲業市道依然嚴峻 中聯通首季按年多賺5.6% 移動用戶淨增748萬戶 裕元料上季盈利倒退最多25%至7500萬美元 中國鐵塔首季純利升8.6% 香港機場3月客運量增10.4%  中東歐洲需求帶動貨運量升4.8% 財經花生丨港交所陳翊庭登時代雜誌百人榜 打敗99%港上市公司CEO 內地蘑界 · 野生菌石鍋雞在港首設境外店 選址沙田新城市廣場 中國3月全國城鎮不包含在校生的16至24歲勞動力失業率降至16.5% 惠譽:美國今年對中國有效關稅率料多於100% 降內地GDP預測至3.9% 恒指收市升338點 成交、波幅、北水流入降 北水交易額佔比則創月內次高 關稅戰丨黃仁勳應中國貿促會邀請再次到訪北京 羅奇:中美貿易戰是一場沒有贏家的惡性競爭 Hermes首季銷售增7%遜預期 大中華地區客流量跌 滬深三大指數午後個別發展 滬指連升八日 Hermes:5月1日起美國市場加價 應對關稅 騰訊:未來三年新增28000校園招聘職位 涵蓋大模型、研發等職能 Source link

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前港區全國人大代表劉佩瓊:內房滿足兩類需求 利私樓 – 20250417 – 經濟 – 每日明報

1998至2018年間擔任港區全國人大代表達20年的劉佩瓊是在本港土生土長的著名中國經濟學家,於1968年畢業於中文大學新亞書院經濟系後,曾任理工大學工商管理學院副教授、中國商貿及管理碩士學位/深造文憑開設課程原主任,現時則是浸會大學工商管理學院特邀教授。本月以來中美貿易戰愈演愈烈之際,劉佩瓊近日主講由中國國情研習促進會(香港)副會長范耀鈞主持的「經濟『范』泛講」網上研討會,以「今年『兩會』的國家經濟發展重大方針、政策和展望」為題發表觀點外,亦談及對中美貿易戰及內地樓市的最新看法。 就美國向中國加徵「對等關稅」後雙方貿易戰至今升溫,劉佩瓊表示:「其實美國2018年至今一直有向中國加徵關稅,而我認為中國應對方法,便是加強對東盟及一帶一路發展中國家的貿易與市場,而近年美國佔中國出口市場份額已經大幅下降,但這仍然是好大的分量,因此美國仍然是中國十分希望爭取的出口市場。我認識一些朋友近年將部分生產線搬走,主要是搬去東南亞,亦有搬去南美洲及墨西哥等地,雖然在後兩者設廠曾有一些物流問題,惟隨着中國企業作為主要投資者的秘魯錢凱港已在去年啟用,貨物現已有新的運輸方式,故此物流問題亦已明顯改善。」 內地推「一攬子增量政策」準備好迎貿易戰 劉佩瓊續說,根據她的廠商朋友提供的資料,目前美國向中國大幅加徵關稅後,關稅開支大概由美國消費者及中國生產者各承擔一半,視乎不同產品而略有不同,換言之,相當部分也會轉嫁至美國消費者,令當地通脹升溫。 至於中美貿易戰升溫對中國經濟的影響,劉佩瓊指出,目前中國政策大方向是在2022年10月召開的中共二十大選出新一屆政治局常委及政治局委員已決定,2023年3月全國「兩會」後則有新一屆政府班底,去年7月三中全會閉幕後,去年9月召開政治局會議提到「加力推出增量政策」,估計便是因應面對國際複雜形勢及國內眾多問題提出來的,而去年12月舉行、部署今年經濟工作的中央經濟工作會議便曾提到去年9月的政治局會議「果斷部署一攬子增量政策,使社會信心有效提振,經濟明顯回升」,可見幾個月前已為中美貿易戰可能升溫做好準備。 劉佩瓊指出,內地政府今年以來仍然多次提及「一攬子增量政策」,當中包括大力發展內需、提振消費,減少對外圍經濟的依賴,同時亦繼續重視科技創新及發展現代化產業,目標是在各領域上均不受制於其他國家。 去年9月政治局促內房止跌回穩 政策續出台 去年9月召開政治局會議首次提到「要促進房地產市場止跌回穩」,指出「對商品房建設要嚴控增量、優化存量、提高質量」及「要回應群眾關切,調整住房限購政策,降低存量房貸利率,抓緊完善土地、財稅、金融等政策,推動構建房地產發展新模式。」 房地產為人民儲存財富重要形式 劉佩瓊認為,上述提到的內地房地產政策在過去8個月不少已成功落實,這對促進市場止跌回穩有很大的幫助。她分析,內地房地產現已定調細分為剛性及改善性住房需求兩大市場,指政府會繼續致力滿足居民剛性住房需求、令普羅百姓均有屋住,同時亦會以市場為本方針滿足改善性住房需求,認為這對未來私人住宅市場的發展屬正面,她表示:「房地產是民間投資一個很重要的工具,原因是在城市裏面有些房地產是由業主出租予租戶做生意或居住,這也是人民儲存財富的重要形式。」 明報記者 葉創成 [名人樓市論壇] Source link

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