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Nasdaq’s analyst fair value estimate has been nudged higher, from US$107.73 to US$108.53, which is putting fresh attention on how the market is thinking about the stock. Recent research has been broadly constructive, with several bullish analysts lifting targets into a US$113 to US$120 band and one upgrade after the latest investor day, tying higher price targets to execution in financial technology, AI related demand, and the strength of its trading and data platforms. Read on to see how these shifting targets fit into the evolving narrative and what to watch next.
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TD Cowen upgraded Nasdaq to Buy from Hold after the investor day, pointing to greater confidence in the durability of its platform, especially in financial technology, and describing current share levels as an attractive entry point.
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TD Cowen also lifted its price target to US$106 from US$105 and characterizes Nasdaq as a beneficiary of AI, which the firm sees as an added support for the business mix.
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UBS raised its price target to US$120 from US$115 and calls Nasdaq a top pick among U.S. exchanges, signaling conviction in the company’s positioning versus peers.
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JPMorgan increased its price target to US$113 from US$111 after updating its model, which suggests the firm is comfortable with current assumptions on Nasdaq’s execution and business profile.
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Barclays moved its price target up to US$115 from US$114, citing stronger volumes across equities, options, and futures and higher volatility ahead of Q4 reports.
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The source research does not highlight specific bearish arguments, but the relatively modest price target raises at TD Cowen, JPMorgan, and Barclays imply some analysts are adjusting expectations cautiously rather than making large valuation shifts.
Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there’s more to the story. Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives!
We’ve flagged 1 risk for Nasdaq. See which could impact your investment.
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Nasdaq plans to launch an equity token design that lets public companies tokenize their shares while keeping existing ownership rights, transparency, and governance in line with current equity markets, following a tokenization proposal filed with the SEC in September 2025 and the SEC’s 2026 Staff Statement on Tokenized Securities.
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The equity token framework is intended to connect regulated equity markets with blockchain networks so that tokenized equities can trade, clear, and settle in token form through existing infrastructure like the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, with blockchain records integrated into official share registries.
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Nasdaq and Payward, parent of the Kraken crypto platform, agreed to build an equities transformation gateway that links regulated, permissioned equity markets with permissionless decentralized networks. This gateway is intended to allow tokenized equities to move between institutional systems and on chain markets in eligible jurisdictions.
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Nasdaq introduced the Nasdaq Private Capital Indexes, based on more than 14,000 institutional private market funds and over US$11.4b in global AUM, and reported repurchases of 3,175,940 shares for US$286m in Q4 2025, bringing total buybacks under the October 24, 2014 authorization to 42,422,583 shares for US$4,065.45m.
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The analyst fair value estimate has moved from US$107.73 to US$108.53.
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The revenue growth assumption has shifted from a 6.90% decline to 8.33% growth.
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The net profit margin assumption has adjusted slightly from 33.96% to 33.93%.
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The future P/E multiple assumption has changed from 33.25x to 33.45x.
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The discount rate has moved from 8.24% to 8.20%.
Narratives link a company’s story to a financial forecast and fair value so you can see how product plans, partnerships, and risks fit together. They update over time as new information, price targets, and assumptions come through.
Head over to the Simply Wall St Community and follow the Narrative on Nasdaq to stay up to date on:
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How Nasdaq’s investments in product development, index launches, and international expansion aim to broaden revenue streams and support its role in global markets.
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What the AWS partnership and expansion of Verafin’s AI driven compliance tools could mean for efficiency, client adoption, and recurring revenue.
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The key risks around macro uncertainty, competition, reliance on large transactions and partnerships, and regulatory changes that could affect future growth and margins.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include NDAQ.
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