GBP/USD Forecast: Consolidating at Fresh Lows, Eyes on CPI

  • Traders are still digesting last week’s events 
  • BoE Governor Andrew Bailey said the central bank might pivot to aggressive cuts.
  • The US NFP report revealed an unexpected 254,000 new jobs in September.

The GBP/USD forecast shows a period of consolidation after the recent slide to new lows. The pound remained weak after dovish BoE remarks last week. On the other hand, the dollar paused, holding on to gains made after an upbeat US NFP report. 

Are you interested to learn more about day trading brokers? Check our detailed guide-

Market participants were calm on Wednesday as prices paused in a slow start to the week. Consequently, traders were still digesting last week’s events, which pressured the pound and boosted the dollar. 

Last week, economic data and policymaker remarks pointed to an aggressive BoE and a gradual Fed. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said the central bank might pivot to aggressive cuts depending on future inflation figures. 

Meanwhile, most US economic reports last week showed a resilient economy. The biggest catalyst came on Friday when the NFP report revealed an unexpected 254,000 new jobs in September. Moreover, the unemployment rate eased to 4.1%. Consequently, market participants slashed bets for a November rate cut, with futures suggesting a 25-bps rate cut. The dollar rallied to a seven-week high, weighing on its peers like the pound.

This week, the UK and the US will release more economic data that will continue shaping the outlook for rate cuts. Notably, traders will watch the UK GDP report on Friday, highlighting growth. Weaker-than-expected growth could put more pressure on the BoE to cut rates. Meanwhile, in the US, the FOMC minutes and the CPI report might contain clues on the Fed’s next policy moves.

GBP/USD key events today

GBP/USD technical forecast: Bears show exhaustion after sharp decline

GBP/USD forecastGBP/USD forecast
GBP/USD 4-hour chart

On the technical side, the GBP/USD price is in a tight consolidation, slightly above the 1.3051 support level. Meanwhile, the bearish bias remains intact, with the price below the SMA and the RSI below 50. After a sharp drop, the price has paused. 

-Are you looking for the best AI Trading Brokers? Check our detailed guide-

However, the RSI is making higher highs, indicating exhaustion in the downtrend. If bears have weakened, they might fail to breach the 1.3051 support. Moreover, bulls might reverse the trend by breaking above the SMA. Nevertheless, if bears are taking a short break, the price might soon start making lower lows.

Looking to trade forex now? Invest at eToro!

67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Source link

Visited 1 times, 1 visit(s) today

Related Article

Get our exclusive guide to EUR/USD trading in Q4 2024

The Price Breaks the Two-Year Support Zone

EUR/USD has breached the support level at 1.05500, and selling momentum has strengthened the current downtrend in the chart.   The Federal Reserve (Fed) has emphasized slowing down the pace of interest rate cuts, a move that could be crucial in maintaining the strength of the U.S. dollar over the long term.   EUR/USD has

20241219gbpjpyH1

GBP/JPY eyes break of its 2015 high

The Bank of Japan held their interest rate at 0.25% as widely expected, and there is little expectation for them to fire up their hawkish engines by any meaningful degree soon. The Bank of England also meets shortly and is also likely to hold their interest rate, at a much higher 4.75%. And recent data

GBP/USD Signal Today - 19/12: Sterling Faces Risk (Chart)

GBP/USD Signal Today – 19/12: Sterling Faces Risk (Chart)

Created on December 19, 2024 Bearish View Sell the GBP/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.2490. Add a stop-loss at 1.2800. Timeline: 1-2 days. Bullish View Set a buy-stop at 1.2715 and a take-profit at 1.2800. Add a stop-loss at 1.2500. The GBP/USD pair remained on edge after the UK published the November consumer

Nasdaq 100 Index Plummets After Fed Decision

On 17th December, analysing the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), we: → Drew a blue upward channel relevant for 2024; → Noted that the price was near the upper boundary of the channel, while the RSI indicator had entered the overbought zone; → Suggested that bulls might face difficulties in pushing

20241220forex

Yen thrown overboard post BOJ, ASX selloff looks stretched

The BOJ held their interest rate at 0.25%, but it seems there was still some hope they might have raised rates, given the yen’s response. Even if the odds of a hike yesterday were greatly diminished, just a few weeks ago the odds firmly backed one. Furthermore, their tone was quite dovish, indicating that the

EURUSD Daily Chart 12202024

EUR/USD Defends Yearly Low to Keep RSI Above 30

US Dollar Outlook: EUR/USD EUR/USD appears to be defending the yearly low (1.0333) as it rebounds from a fresh monthly low (1.0343), with the recovery in the exchange rate keeping the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 30. US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Defends Yearly Low to Keep RSI Above 30 EUR/USD may track the November range

BTC/USD Forecast Today: Holds $100K Support (graph)

BTC/USD Forecast Today: Holds $100K Support (Chart)

Created on December 20, 2024 During my analysis of Bitcoin, the first thing that comes to attention is the fact that the $100,000 level continues to be very important. This is obviously a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and I would venture to say there are probably a lot of options traders willing to get

GO Markets Review 2024 - Investing.com

GO Markets Review 2024 – Investing.com

Transparent Fee Structure GO Markets offers competitive and transparent pricing with minimal fees to ensure cost-effective trading for all clients. Account Minimum There is no minimum deposit requirement for either the Standard or GO Plus+ accounts, making the platform accessible to traders with varying budgets. Trading Fees The Standard Account charges no commissions, with costs

Drops Amid USD Strength -Video

Drops Amid USD Strength -Video

Created on December 20, 2024 As you can see, the Euro initially did rally against the US dollar during the trading session on Thursday, but it has been slapped right back down. I think it’s probably only a matter of time before the Euro drops down to the parity level, possibly lower than that, because

Australia court: Clients at USGFX reps EuropeFX and TradeFred lost $83M

Australia court: Clients at USGFX reps EuropeFX and TradeFred lost $83M

Australia financial regulator ASIC has reported that the Australia Federal Court has unveiled another side of the bankruptcy of former AFS licensed CFDs broker USGFX, indicating that the “unconscionable conduct” that led to the demise of USGFX went well beyond its own four walls. The 2020 bankruptcy of USGFX operator Union Standard International Group Pty

GBP/USD technical forecast

GBP/USD Outlook: Pound Slides as Rate Cut Bets Grow

Three BoE policymakers were ready to lower borrowing costs. Data revealed that UK retail sales missed forecasts, increasing by 0.2%. The US economy expanded by 3.1% in the fourth quarter, above estimates of 2.8%. The GBP/USD outlook shows growing enthusiasm among pound bears as Bank of England rate cut expectations increase. At the same time,

USD/CAD technical price analysis

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Political Stability Restores Loonie

Canada’s new Finance Minister, Dominic Leblanc, took office, restoring political calm. The US economy grew by 3.1% in the fourth quarter. US jobless claims dropped more than expected last week. The USD/CAD price analysis suggests political calm in Canada, which has given the loonie some strength against the shining dollar. Meanwhile, market participants eagerly await

USD/MXN Forecast Today - 19/12: USD Rallies vs MXN (Chart)

USD/MXN Forecast Today – 19/12: USD Rallies vs MXN (Chart)

Created on December 19, 2024 The US dollar has rallied rather significantly during the trading session on Wednesday, as the FOMC in the United States cut interest rates by 25 basis points. It wasn’t necessarily that the cut itself is a surprise, it has more to do with the fact that the forward guidance suggests that

Sees a Small Pullback (Video)

Sees a Small Pullback (Video)

Created on December 19, 2024 The Bitcoin market fell a bit during the early hours on Wednesday as we wait for the FOMC meeting, the FOMC meeting and interest rate, press conference statement all come into the picture to drive the value of the US dollar. Now, while the Federal Reserve is expected to cut

GBP/USD technical forecast

GBP/USD Forecast: Dollar Surges Amid Hawkish FOMC

The greenback jumped after the Fed forecasted fewer rate cuts in 2025. Forecasts revealed that the Fed might only lower rates by 50 bps. Inflation jumped from 2.3% to 2.6% in the three months to October. The GBP/USD forecast shows renewed support for the USD despite FOMC’s rate cut. The Fed left a hawkish statement

EUR/USD Forecast Today 19/12: Weakened Before FOMC (Video)

EUR/USD Forecast Today 19/12: Weakened Before FOMC (Video)

Created on December 19, 2024 The euro initially rallied during the trading session on Wednesday but has turned around to show signs of negativity. But ultimately this is a market that I think is just killing time ahead of the FOMC meeting that occurs about three hours after I record this video. And as things

Gold Analysis Today 19/12: Attempts Recovery (graph)

Gold Analysis Today 19/12: Attempts Recovery (Chart)

Created on December 19, 2024 During Thursday’s trading, the gold price is attempting to recover yesterday’s losses, which exceeded 2%, as the gold price index plummeted to the support level of $2583 per ounce. This is the lowest price in a month, following the US Federal Reserve’s hawkish announcement. Today, Thursday, attempts to recover the

Forex Signals Brief December 6: All Eyes on the NFP After the Weak US Jobs Data This Week

Brazil Sells $8 Billion to Avoid More Depreciation

eth-usd Ignacio Teson•Thursday, December 19, 2024•1 min read Add an article to your Reading List Register now to be able to add articles to your reading list. ” aria-hidden=”true”> Share in Facebook “> Amid mounting economic challenges, the Central Bank of Brazil has resorted to extreme measures to stabilize its currency. On Thursday, the bank

0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x