EUR/USD Analysis Today 02/12: Faces Downward Pressure

  • At the beginning of this week, the US dollar regained its recent losses following Trump’s recent harsh threats and ahead of the start of trading for those who abandon the US dollar.
  • As a result, the EUR/USD currency pair is stabilizing on a downward trend around the support level of 1.0515 after closing last week’s trading at around 1.0575.
  • We expect the downward momentum for the euro-dollar to persist until the reaction to the announcement of US jobs figures at the end of the week, which will have a strong reaction on the expectations for the future of US Federal Reserve policies.

EUR/USD Analysis Today 02/12: Faces Downward Pressure (graph)

US Treasury Yields Stronger

Today, the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds rose to more than 4.2%, reflecting a two-week decline, and its gains came with increasing speculation among investors about the strong US economic performance before the new year 2025. Also, the rise in bond yields followed the rally in the US dollar after a sharp threat from Trump to the BRICS group of countries. Correspondingly, he stated that he would impose a 100% tariff if the BRICS countries created or supported a new currency that could replace the dollar.

US central bank policies support the dollar

In terms of monetary policy, financial markets are currently betting on the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting US interest rates by 25 basis points this month by 67%, up from 53% a week ago. In general, investors are now focusing on US jobs data and statements from a number of US Federal Reserve policy officials.

US Stocks Stabilize

According to stock trading platforms, US stock futures have seen little change today as investors seek new catalysts in the last month of 2024. Overall, US stock market indices have emerged from a strong week and month, with the three major indices rising between 1.1% and 1.45% last week and rising between 5.7% and 7.8% in November trading. Also, the Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices hit all-time highs on Friday. Simultaneously, these gains were largely driven by the rally that followed the election after the decisive victory of President-elect Donald Trump. Ultimately, the resilience of the US economy and the corporate sector also boosted investor sentiment.

EUR/USD Analysis Today:

My technical outlook for the EUR/USD currency pair remains unchanged. The overall trend is still downward, and as we mentioned before and confirm now, the stability of the euro-dollar around and below the support level of 1.0500 will continue to encourage the dominance of the bears on the trend. Furthermore, the expectations will return to the proximity of the euro-dollar parity if the bears succeed in pushing the currency pair towards the support levels of 1.0455 and 1.0380 again. Technically, these levels and below will push the technical indicators towards strong oversold levels. Conversely, and based on the daily chart, the psychological resistance of 1.1000 will remain the most important for a shift in the euro-dollar direction to bullish.

EUR/USD Trading Signals:

Based on the above analysis, we recommend selling the EUR/USD currency pair from every upward level. To get EUR/USD signals and other free trading signals, follow our website exclusively. Favourably, consider a trading strategy that avoids risk and activates take-profit and stop-loss orders to ensure the safety of your trading account from any sudden price fluctuations.

Ready to trade our EUR/USD Forex analysis? We’ve made a list of the best forex trading platforms for beginners worth trading with

Source link

Visited 1 times, 1 visit(s) today

Related Article

GBP/USD Forecast Today -4/12: GBP/USD Lacks Momentum (Chart)

GBP/USD Forecast Today -4/12: GBP/USD Lacks Momentum (Chart)

Created on December 04, 2024 During my daily analysis of the GBP/USD pair, I’ve noticed that although we had a little bit of upward trajectory early in the session, we have seen the British pound give up its gains against the US dollar, which leads me to believe that we are going to continue to

GBPUSD Daily Chart 12032024

GBP/USD Recovery Vulnerable as Bear Flag Formation Takes Shape

British Pound Outlook: GBP/USD GBP/USD may trade within the November range as it pares the decline from the start of the week, but the exchange rate may stage additional attempts to test the May low (1.2446) as a bear-flag formation appears to be taking shape. GBP/USD Recovery Vulnerable as Bear Flag Formation Takes Shape Keep

Natural Gas Forecast Today - 3/12: Gas Rebounds (Chart)

Natural Gas Forecast Today – 3/12: Gas Rebounds (Chart)

Created on December 03, 2024  This makes a huge difference, due to the fact that the futures markets of course have the most liquidity during the US session. Furthermore, it’s worth noting that the contract that you are trading in is more likely than not a derivative of the Henry Hub Natural Gas contract, which

Download the GFO report button

Global FX outlook for December 2024 – United States

As 2024 draws to a close, financial markets are experiencing the reverberations of significant geopolitical events and monetary policy shifts. The re-election of Donald Trump and his revived trade policy agenda have reignited volatility across currency markets, propelling the USD to two-year highs. Is your payments strategy sufficient to help ensure your business stays ahead

USD/JPY Forecast Today 03/12: Struggles Below 150 (Video)

USD/JPY Forecast Today 03/12: Struggles Below 150 (Video)

Created on December 03, 2024 The US dollar initially did try to recover against the Japanese yen during the trading session on Monday, but a lower than anticipated manufacturing PMI number may have been a bit of a problem. While that has seen the US dollar rocket higher against other currencies, I think this is

EUR/USD technical price analysis

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Recovery Above 1.05 May Stall

The euro plunged in the previous session due to political turmoil in France. The euro lost 3% of its value against the dollar in November. The US manufacturing PMI increased from 46.5 to 48.4. The EUR/USD price analysis shows some bullish momentum after a slide in the previous session.

EUR/USD Analysis Today 03/12: Bearish Trajectory (graph)

EUR/USD Analysis Today 03/12: Bearish Trajectory (Chart)

Created on December 03, 2024 As we predicted, the EUR/USD’s resilience wouldn’t last long. At the beginning of this crucial trading week, the currency pair attempted to surpass its recent gains of 1.0571, but with the continued pressure on the Euro due to political and economic factors, as well as the strength of the US

Get our guide to central banks and interest rates in Q4 2024

Technical Tuesday – December 3, 2024

The EUR/JPY is our featured technical chart, for not only a technical breakdown is looking increasingly likely, but the macro back backdrop makes for a bearish fundamental backdrop. In short, the euro is undermined because of Europe’s persistent economic and political challenges, while a potential rate hike from the Bank of Japan magnifies the yen’s

EUR/GBP Forecast Today 03/12: Holds Key Support (Video)

EUR/GBP Forecast Today 03/12: Holds Key Support (Video)

Created on December 03, 2024 As I look at the Euro against the British pound, I have to ask a lot of questions of whether or not we are breaking down more significantly than we have seen in the past. When I zoom out on the charts going back to approximately the summer of 2016,

20241203 DAX

DAX breaks 20,000 Amid Bullish Momentum and ECB Focus

Market Overview: Key Developments and Outlook Asian Session Highlights USD vs. Yen: The U.S. dollar remained near a six-week low against the yen. Euro Weakness: The euro declined, partly due to political instability in France, where Prime Minister Michel Barnier faces a potential vote of no confidence, which could introduce volatility in the euro and

USD/CAD Forecast Today 03/12: Near Highs (Video)

Created on December 03, 2024 The US dollar rallied rather significantly during the trading session in the early hours of Monday as we continue to see the US dollar swallow everything whole. This does make a certain amount of sense against the Canadian dollar because Canada has a whole litany of problems. But as you

USD/CAD technical outlook

USD/CAD Outlook: Manufacturing Surge Bolsters Loonie

Canada’s manufacturing PMI rose from 51.1 to 52.0 in November. The US manufacturing PMI rose to 48.4 after a previous reading of 46.5. US unemployment might increase in November. The USD/CAD outlook shows stronger-than-expected business activity in Canada’s manufacturing sector which is supporting the loonie. Meanwhile, the dollar eased

Silver Prices at $30.55: 3 Key Factors Driving the Bearish Trend

Silver Prices at $30.55: 3 Key Factors Driving the Bearish Trend

Silver (XAG/USD) remains under pressure, trading at $30.55 after hitting an intra-day low of $30.05. The primary driver behind this bearish move is the renewed strength of the US Dollar (USD), fueled by expectations of slower Federal Reserve rate cuts and rising US Treasury yields. The USD has gained additional support amid escalating geopolitical uncertainties.

Image used for representative purpose only

Rupee falls 4 paise to all-time low of 84.76 against U.S. dollar in early trade

Image used for representative purpose only | Photo Credit: Reuters The rupee fell 4 paise to all-time low of 84.76 against the U.S. dollar in early trade on Tuesday, as the strength of the American currency in the overseas market and unabated foreign portfolio outflows dented investor sentiments. Forex traders said the depreciation in rupee

BTC/USD Signal Today - 02/12: Bearish Turn Ahead (Chart)

BTC/USD Signal Today – 02/12: Bearish Turn Ahead (Chart)

Created on December 02, 2024 My previous BTC/USD signal on 21st November was not triggered, as none of the key levels which I had identified were reached that day. Today’s BTC/USD Signals Risk 0.50% per trade. Trades may only be taken prior to 5pm Tokyo time Tuesday. Long Trade Ideas Long entry after a bullish

AUD/USD technical forecast

AUD/USD Forecast: Strong Aussie Economy Meets Strong Dollar

Retail sales in Australia grew by 0.6% in October, above forecasts of a 0.4% increase. Market participants do not expect an RBA rate cut this year. US employers likely hired 195,000 new workers in November.  The AUD/USD forecast shows a volatile start to the week due to upbeat Australian

USD/MXN Analysis Today - 02/12: Calm Before U.S Data (Chart)

USD/MXN Analysis Today – 02/12: Calm Before U.S Data (Chart)

Created on December 02, 2024 After trading around the 20.73000 level into Wednesday of last week, the USD/MXN has begun to exhibit calmer trading sentiment among financial institutions, but the currency pair remains within higher elements still even as it trades lower. The USD/MXN has traded slightly lower and is touching the 202.41400 level early

GBP/USD Forecast Today 02/12: Eyes Breakout (Video)

GBP/USD Forecast Today 02/12: Eyes Breakout (Video)

Created on December 02, 2024 The cable rallied a bit during the trading session on Friday to break above the crucial 1.27 level. However, we have seen a little bit of pushback. So, this is what I call a holding pattern in the Forex world. We’ve broken out. And once you see this candlestick alarm

Gold Analysis Today 02/12: Forecast for Coming Days (graph)

Forecast for Coming Days (Chart)

Created on December 02, 2024 Trump’s harsh threats against BRICS countries regarding the exclusive use of the US dollar have contributed to a strong positive momentum for the US dollar, causing gold prices to decline to the support level of $2622 per ounce. This move abandoned the gains of the previous Friday’s session, which reached

eurusd forecast chart

EUR/USD, FTSE Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD falls amid French political uncertainty French government is on the verge of collapse Eurozone manufacturing PMI contracts further USD rises as Trump threats trade tariffs EUR/USD looks to test 1.05 EUR/USD is falling at the start of the week after strong gains last week as the US dollar rebounds and amid French political uncertainty.

0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x