Coffee Weekly Forecast – 26/01: Highs Reached (Chart)

Speculators who were counting on their downward perspectives in Coffee Arabica to finally pay off, instead were treated to another pop higher in the price of the commodity. Not only did the value of Coffee Arabica escalate, but it broke record highs and the 350.00 mark saw sustained trading above until seeing a slight reversal took place on Friday and a close around the 347.75 ratio happened.

Coffee Weekly Forecast - 26/01: Highs Reached (Chart)If there are any traders left in Coffee Arabica that want to bet wildly on downside momentum seeing sustained momentum downwards, please be careful. There may be a hedge fund or two with deep enough pockets to wager on a big move lower in the mid-term that can tolerate the record high prices now being seen, but day traders who have insisted on being sellers have likely been wiped out by Coffee Arabica. The soft commodities of Coffee Arabica and Robusta, and Cocoa continue to take no prisoners.

Movement Higher and Not Standing in the Way of Traffic

When Coffee Arabica opened for trading on Tuesday of this past week, buyers showed instant interest and the price of the commodity was soon above the 336.00 mark. The ability of Coffee Arabica to produce buying power after a reversal lower to the 326.00 should not have surprised many people. Wednesday’s low quickly faded from memory when trading power grew and Coffee Arabica started to flirt with and climb above the 340.00 ratio.

Early trading this past Thursday soon saw Coffee Arabica within record values seen on the 10th of December, this as values above the 349.00 mark were effectively traded. And while a reversal lower did occur and briefly went below the 340.00 level, prices soon began to see another trend emerge upwards. Friday’s opening saw the 343.00 mark prove durable as support and buying kept being seen and the 350.00 realm was surpassed and the 351.00 began to be flirted with as Coffee traders certainly knew they were making history via the lofty prices.

Speculation Alive and Well in Coffee Arabica

Higher realms in Coffee Arabica may feel unnatural to some day traders, but they should remember speculative fuel is being created by large players who continue to show they have the power to drive the commodity higher. Betting on downside while it may appear logical, may continue to prove wrong. The price of Coffee Arabica remain within a long-term bullish trend and its ability to create new record values this week clearly means it should not be treated with disrespect.

  • If a trader persists and wants to look for selling to occasionally test support levels that is one thing that can be done, but to expect a solid erosion of price in Coffee Arabica for the moment seems likely a fast way to lose money.
  • Wagering on upwards momentum continuing may seem like it is risky too, and it is, but trading Coffee Arabica for smaller traders is all about riding on the momentum created by large players.

Coffee Weekly Outlook:

Speculative price range for Coffee is 337.00 to 359.00

Another week of intriguing speculation has been seen in Coffee and the story will continue. The opening in Coffee Arabica tomorrow should be watched closely, and traders who dare to pursue the commodity need to practice solid risk taking. The price velocity of Coffee Arabica is another interesting signal for speculators, that is because price velocity was not significant.

The record values produced in Coffee Arabica were done in a rather polite fashion and there was not a great deal of violence in the market. Traders who are over leveraged may feel differently, but the upwards momentum in Coffee Arabica this past week was accomplished with incremental steps and not violent spikes. This opens the doors to the potential that buyers remain calm and are not demonstrating over zealous emotion, which may indicate they are still able to buy more Coffee Arabica if they desire.

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