Broadcom Stock Is Down 7% in a Year. Cheap for a Reason or Too Cheap to Ignore?

Broadcom Stock Is Down 7% in a Year. Cheap for a Reason or Too Cheap to Ignore? © show999 from Getty Images and TETE_ESCAPE from teteescape via Canva
Broadcom Stock Is Down 7% in a Year. Cheap for a Reason or Too Cheap to Ignore? © show999 from Getty Images and TETE_ESCAPE from teteescape via Canva

Key Takeaways

  • Broadcom stock is down 6.6% over the past year, closing at $321.68 on October 23, and sits 32.9% below its June 3 close of $479.23.

  • The Street’s mean price target is $529.10, 64.5% above the latest close.

  • Analysts expect normalized EPS to climb from $6.82 in fiscal 2025 to $30.38 in fiscal 2028, right in line with CEO Hock Tan’s call for more than $30.

  • Next up is Broadcom’s fiscal Q4 report, which the company plans to release on December 9, against guidance of $34.8B in revenue and $21.7B in AI chip sales.

Broadcom (AVGO:NASDAQ) stock is down 6.6% over the past year, closing at $321.68 on October 23. A 12.59% one-day drop in June and an October chip selloff erased a spring rally that had been built on a long-term chip deal with Alphabet (GOOGL:NASDAQ) unit Google.

By my math, that leaves Broadcom stock 32.9% below its June 3 close. Over the same stretch, the company raised its AI revenue outlook and told investors it expects AI chip sales to double in each of the next two fiscal years. Since June, the business and the share price have moved in opposite directions.

How Broadcom Stock Got to $479

AVGO Stock Price: 1-Year (TIKR)
AVGO Stock Price: 1-Year (TIKR)

The first months of the period went the wrong way. Broadcom shares fell more than 11% on December 12, 2025, after the company warned that a bigger mix of lower-margin custom AI processors would squeeze profitability, Reuters reported. The stock kept drifting lower and dipped below $300 in early April.

Then the deal arrived. On April 6, Broadcom disclosed in an 8-K filing a long-term agreement to develop and supply future generations of Google’s Tensor Processing Units (TPUs, Google’s custom AI chips). The agreement also covers networking parts for Google’s next-generation AI racks through up to 2031. The same filing said Anthropic would access approximately 3.5 gigawatts of TPU-based compute through Broadcom beginning in 2027. The climb that followed carried Broadcom stock to a $479.23 close on June 3.

Two Days That Undid AVGO’s Spring Rally

The second-quarter report that evening broke the run. Revenue of $22.19 billion landed just short of the $22.27 billion analysts expected, and management kept its AI chip forecast unchanged instead of raising it. The stock fell 12.59% on June 4 to $418.91, giving back $60.32 a share in one session.

The next hit came from a rival. On August 19, Marvell Technology (MRVL:NASDAQ) disclosed a custom chip agreement with Google and issued Google a warrant to buy up to 58,970,907 Marvell shares at $206.58 each. Broadcom has built every generation of Google’s TPU for over 10 years, so a second supplier inside that account landed hard: Broadcom stock fell about 5% that day

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