Bitcoin drops 5% below $90,000; bearish factors rack up

  • Bitcoin’s correlation with stock market impacts risk sentiment
  • Crypto-negative factors add pressure on bitcoin, says Jefferies’ Kumar
  • Record outflows from US bitcoin ETFs in November, LSEG data shows

LONDON, Dec 1 (Reuters) – Bitcoin fell below $90,000 on Monday, as a selloff gathered pace following the steepest monthly decline since mid 2021, as renewed risk aversion drove investors out of stocks and digital assets.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency fell by as much as 6.1% at one point. By 1120 GMT, it was down 5.2% at $86,461, set for its biggest one-day fall in a month and hovering near last month’s eight-month low of $80,553.

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Bitcoin shed more than $18,000 in November, as a record amount of money rushed out of the market, making this its largest dollar loss since May 2021, when a number of cryptocurrencies collapsed.

RISK INDICATOR

Given its relatively short lifespan, there is not much in the way of seasonality to guide traders’ expectations for how bitcoin usually behaves in December.

On average, bitcoin has tended to rise by around 9.7% in December, ranking it third in terms of performance, with October being the strongest month, with an average gain of 16.6%, and with September, the weakest month, with an average loss of 3.5%.

Of more relevance might be bitcoin’s tight correlation with the stock market at the moment, analysts said.

“Bitcoin tends to be a leading indicator for overall risk sentiment right now, and its slide does not bode well for stocks at the start of this month,” XTB research director Kathleen Brooks said in a note.

“There is no obvious driver (on Monday). However, the sharp decline in volatility last week, the VIX fell back below the average for the last 12 months, may have unnerved some investors who remain concerned about an uncertain outlook into year-end,” she said.

CME bitcoin futures also show the growing bearishness.

Bitcoin futures that expire in three months’ time are trading at their smallest premium to those that expire this month in at least a year, reflecting how investors are less willing to bank on a sustained rise in the price over time.

Ether , was down nearly 6% at $2,845, having lost some 22% in value in November, the most since February’s 32% slide.

Bitcoin fell 5% on Monday, heading for its biggest one-day fall since early November

NEGATIVES STACKING UP

Jefferies strategist Mohit Kumar said that a number of crypto-negative factors were adding to the pressure on bitcoin on Monday.

S&P Global downgraded its rating of Tether, the world’s largest stablecoin last week, citing an increase in higher-risk assets in its reserves and “persistent gaps in disclosure,” which Tether said it “strongly disagrees” with. Meanwhile, Phong Le, chief executive of Strategy, the world’s largest corporate owner of bitcoin, told the “What Bitcoin Did” podcast on Friday the company would consider selling its holdings if its “mNAV” metric – the company’s enterprise value against the value of its bitcoin holdings – fell below 1. That ratio is currently around 1.19, according to Strategy’s website.

Shares in Strategy (MSTR.O), opens new tab and other crypto companies such as Coinbase (COIN.O), opens new tab and miners Riot Platforms (RIOT.O), opens new tab and MARA Holdings (MARA.O), opens new tab were down 3-4% in premarket trading.

Given how much Strategy shares have fallen in the last year, with a slide of 60% compared with a 13% drop in bitcoin in that time, the company could already risk being ejected from benchmark indices, which would exacerbate the pressure on the company’s stock and its mNAV metric. Index provider MSCI ends a consultation this month on whether to exclude from its benchmarks those companies whose holdings of digital assets exceed 50% of their total assets.

Since hitting a record of around $4.3 trillion in size, the crypto market has lost over $1 trillion in value, according to CoinGecko.

Additional reporting by Shashwat Chauhan; Graphic by Dhara Ranasinghe; Editing by Louise Heavens and Susan Fenton

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港股見近1周最大升幅,恒指創近兩周高。北水流入17億元。 恒指今早高開86點,高位升320點,低位升60點,高低波幅261點。上升股份比例為32.01%,下跌為27.31%,無升跌為40.67%。 恒指半日升209點或0.81%,報26068點,大市成交金額1149億元;國指升58點或0.64%,報9188點。恒生科技指數收報5654點,升0.99%。 藍籌股成交金額456.85億元,佔大市成交39.76%;科指成份股成交金額324.27億元,佔大市成交28.22%;國指成份股成交金額415.65億元,佔大市成交36.17%。 24隻雙櫃台股,總成交0.39億元人民幣,相當於約0.43億港元,佔大市成交的0.04%。 窩輪及牛熊證成交金額增加28.85%,至164.28億元,佔大市成交14.28%。牛熊證成交金額95.83億元,增加34.76%;窩輪成交金額68.45億元,增加21.4%。 藍籌75隻升,12隻下跌,1隻無升跌。舜宇(2382)升6.14%,收報67.4元,是升幅最大的藍籌,泡泡瑪特(9992)跌2.58%,收報219元,是跌幅最大的藍籌。 恒生科技指數成份股23隻升,7隻下跌。升幅最大的是同程旅行(0780)收報23.28元,升6.2%;跌幅最大的是理想(2015)收報70.5元,跌2.02%。 恒指續高於10天線(25822.83點),曾升穿20天線(26157.09點)。科指續高於10天線(5585.04點)。 北水南下合計淨流入17.16億元,較上日減少37.09%,連續第3日流入,累計流入57.71億元,對上一次連續3日淨流入是11月18日。北水本月累計流入17.16億元,按月減少98.59%,金額是2023年6月後新低,連續第30個月流入。北水交易成交額(包括買入及賣出交易)490.24億元,較上日減18.61%,佔香港市場成交額由上日的20.6%增至21.31%。 三大指數表現 恒指曾升最多1.24%,是11月25日後最大升幅,當日升幅為1.37%。高見26179.72點,是11月18日26188.82點後最高。 科指曾升最多1.2%,是11月25日後最大升幅,當日升幅為2.27%。高見5666.28點,是11月27日5679.45點後最高。連升2日,累計升56.57點,對上一次連升2日是11月25日。 國指曾升最多1.02%,是11月25日後最大升幅,當日升幅為1.53%。高見9222.87點,是11月27日9240.56點後最高。 個股表現 比亞迪(1211)將召回近九萬部車 修復電池包缺陷。收報99元,升1.54%。 零跑(9863):11月交付按年增逾75%。收報53.45元,升0.85%。 摯達科技(2650)與沙特合作夥伴簽署銷售訂單,供應電動汽車充電樁。創上市新高,見231元,收報227.2元,升3.74%。 愛高集團(0328)中期虧損收窄,9月底流動負債淨額1.43億。收報2.79元,升2.57%。 江銅(0358)擬購倫敦上市SolGold,Plc全部股份,要約已被拒絕。收報33.14元,升8.02%。 裕田中國(0313)中期虧損3661萬。收報0.126元,升2.44%。 高鑫零售(6808):沈輝辭任執董及首席執行官,李衛平接任。收報1.7元,升5.59%。 英皇國際(0163)中期虧損近23億,投資公允值損失近21億。收報0.205元,升2.5%。 美團(3690)王興:料上季虧損已見頂,香港Keeta上月首見盈利。美團第三季經調整轉蝕160億元遜預期,料第四季虧損趨勢延續。收報101元,跌1.46%。 新興光學(0125)中期虧損擴大至逾2000萬元。收報0.36元,跌2.7%。 萬科(2202)抵押1532萬股萬物雲(2602)。標普降萬科評級至CCC-,評級展望調整為列入負面觀察名單。收報3.59元,跌1.37%。 萬物雲(2602)收報20.14元,跌0.4%。 百度(9888)據報開始大規模裁員 部分團隊裁員比例或達四成。收報115.2元,升1.23%。 匯豐(0005)尋主席接班人,據報歐思邦等候選人下月初向董事會闡述策略。收報110.8元,升1.37%。 包浩斯(0483)中期虧損擴大至641.4萬元,不派息。收報0.295元,無升跌。 破頂股表現 創上市新高股包括,中國黃金國際(2099)高見161.9元,收報161.1元,升8.41%;經緯天地(2477)高見15元,收報14.84元,升3.06%;安井食品(2648)高見77.75元,收報76.5元,升4.65%;健康160(2656)高見58.95元,收報57.9元,跌1.19%;摯達科技(2650)高見231元,收報227.2元,升3.74%;創新實業(2788)高見17.92元,收報17.05元,升13.67%;A博時美元-U(9196)高見1123.3元,收報1123.3元,升0.06%。 破頂指數成份股包括,長和(0001)創52周高,見56元,收報55.55元,升1.09%;新奧(2688)創52周高,見72.15元,收報71.85元,升1.27%;新奧能源(2688)創52周高,見72.15元,收報71.85元,升1.27%。 破底股方面 9隻股份創上市新低,包括世茂集團(0813)低見0.216元,收報0.218元,跌4.8%;泰坦能源技術(2188)低見0.186元,收報0.19元,跌2.56%;獅騰控股(2562)低見4.02元,收報4.05元,跌6.25%;雅高控股(3313)低見0.123元,收報0.123元,跌9.56%;紫元元(8223)低見0.51元,收報0.53元,跌5.36%;寶發控股(8532)低見0.015元,收報0.015元,跌31.82%;聖貝拉(2508)低見4.2元,收報4.27元,跌1.16%;IFBH(6603)低見16.58元,收報16.79元,跌2.72%;金葉國際(8549)低見0.38元,收報0.385元,跌4.94%。 16隻股份創52周低,其中十隻包括,安賢園中國(0922)低見0.134元,收報0.135元,跌2.88%;滄港鐵路(2169)低見0.69元,收報0.7元,跌2.78%;合豐集團(2320)低見0.062元,收報0.062元,跌27.06%;融眾金融(3963)低見0.15元,收報0.16元,無升跌;首創環境(3989)低見0.069元,收報0.07元,升1.45%;英達公路再生科技(6888)低見0.132元,收報0.132元,跌4.35%;皓文控股(8019)低見0.17元,收報0.17元,無升跌;俊盟國際(8062)低見0.235元,收報0.235元,跌4.08%;傳承教育集團(8195)低見1.2元,收報1.21元,無升跌;天泓文創(8500)低見0.141元,收報0.168元,跌12.95%。 異動股 上升異動股,包括,TATA健康(1255)創52周高,見2.4元,收報2.25元,升650%;律齊文化(0550)創52周高,見0.355元,收報0.198元,升47.76%;劍虹集團控股(1557)收報0.25元,升41.24%;北大資源(0618)創52周高,見0.325元,收報0.25元,升36.61%;星太鏈集團(0399)收報0.122元,升34.07%;世紀聯合控股(1959)收報3.2元,升31.69%;麗豐控股(1125)收報1.14元,升22.58%;中國智慧能源(1004)收報0.029元,升20.83%;太平洋酒吧(8432)收報0.042元,升20%;沿海家園(1124)收報0.335元,升19.64%。 下跌異動股,包括,寶發控股(8532)創上市新低,見0.015元,收報0.015元,跌31.82%;善裕集團控股(8245)收報0.106元,跌29.33%;合豐集團(2320)見52周低0.062元,收報0.062元,跌27.06%;上善黃金(1939)收報4.01元,跌21.37%;中國綠地博大綠澤(1253)收報0.183元,跌19.03%;圓美光電(8311)收報0.049元,跌15.52%;華檢醫療(1931)收報5.55元,跌15.01%;天泓文創(8500)見52周低0.141元,收報0.168元,跌12.95%;亮晴控股(8603)收報3.1元,跌12.68%;加幂科技(8198)收報2.69元,跌11.8%;和嘉控股(0704)收報0.159元,跌11.17%。 其他報道 大埔宏福苑五級火|百佳員工今午12時默哀1分鐘 期間服務或暫停 世界最高爛尾樓以近87億人幣拍出 六項目「打包」易手 比亞迪將召回近九萬部車 修復電池包缺陷 港元拆息全線向下 1個月息見近1周低 隔夜息跌189點子 鄭家純據報洽售瑰麗酒店資產 日圓升值重上5算 植田和男:權衡加息利弊並酌情決定 內地非官方11月製造業PMI跌至49.9 遜預期

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