Here’s What $10,000 Invested in SpaceX and Tesla Could Be Worth in 2030
If you want to invest in the future, splitting your investment between Elon Musk’s two companies, Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX) and Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), could be a solid bet. With just under $10,000 split between the two stocks, investors could buy 14 shares of Tesla and 34 shares of SpaceX.
Tesla is the older of Musk’s two companies, and it has established electric vehicle (EV), solar, and energy storage businesses. However, what gets investors most excited is what the company has in store for the future, and Tesla recently impressed investors with its new Roadster, which can apparently fly and flip.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a “Double Down” signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same “Total Conviction” signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Image source: The Motley Fool.
Tesla’s biggest opportunities, though, are with robotaxis and robots. Tesla has created a differentiated self-driving technology that uses a camera-only neural network that doesn’t rely on expensive lidar. This, along with its manufacturing footprint, gives it a big cost advantage as it looks to roll out its robotaxi venture across the U.S. If its technology gets the green light, it could dominate this market given what should be superior economics.
Meanwhile, Musk has said he believes that Tesla’s Optimus robots will eventually become its biggest revenue contributor. While making the robots has hit some snags, it has started producing them, and things should become easier over time.
SpaceX is a bet on AI and space
Musk’s newer company is SpaceX. The company currently operates in three segments: space (its rocket launch business), connectivity (its Starlink satellite internet operations), and artificial intelligence (which includes its AI infrastructure, Grok, and AI coding businesses). Starlink is its largest and most profitable business and is growing quickly. Meanwhile, it looks like it may be trying to enter the U.S. mobile market with Starlink as well.
AI is SpaceX’s fastest-growing business, and it should soon become its largest. The company is aggressively building out new AI infrastructure, and it has been getting great returns on its investments, with a payback period of about a year. It has multiple large deals in place, with Anthropic set to be an anchor customer with $84.5 billion in commitments through 2029. Its AI coding platform Cursor, which it acquired earlier this year, is also projected to see robust growth in the coming years.
SpaceX’s space business and its Starship rocket, meanwhile, are the gateway to some of its more ambitious future endeavors. This includes things like orbital data centers, Earth-to-Earth cargo transport, and asteroid mining.
Tesla and SpaceX also have a large joint venture together to build a massive chip manufacturing facility in the U.S. that can handle everything under one roof, from advanced logic chips to memory to advanced packaging.
What a $10,000 investment could be worth in 2030
Right now, there is a very good chance that SpaceX and Tesla will merge before 2030. In fact, prediction market Kalshi has odds of 57% that it happens before April 2027 and 77% that it happens before the end of 2028. Barclays analyst Dan Levy, meanwhile, thinks an announcement could come before Tesla’s annual meeting on Dec. 6, 2026.
Given this growing likelihood, I’d assume SpaceX buys Tesla in an all-stock deal at about a 30% premium, with investors getting 3.16 SpaceX shares for each Tesla share they hold. That would give investors 68 shares of SpaceX after the merger.
For 2031, the Tesla revenue consensus estimate is $331 billion, while for SpaceX, it is $830.8 billion. Combined, that’s $1.16 trillion in estimated annual revenue. Place a 10-times forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio on the stock, given its still strong outer-year growth outlook, and the combined company would be worth $11.6 trillion, and its share count would rise to 25.65 billion shares following the merger. That would value the stock at around $452 in 2030, and 68 shares would be worth over $30,700. That would be a 3x-plus return over the next several years.
Of course, a merger doesn’t have to take place, and there is a risk the combined company doesn’t reach that revenue number given its reliance on future revenue sources like AI infrastructure, robots, and robotaxis. Nonetheless, this looks like it could be a strong combination to own, and buying these two growth stocks could be a smart bet.
We just issued ‘double down’ alerts on 3 stocks — find out if Tesla made our list
Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.
On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:
Nvidia: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2009, you’d have $562,777!*
Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you’d have $64,762!*
Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you’d have $370,440!*
Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, available when you join Stock Advisor, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.
Geoffrey Seiler has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Tesla. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) and Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG) (NASDAQ: GOOGL) are two companies that hardly need an introduction. Both are leaders in their respective industries, generally post excellent financial results, and have crushed broader equities over the long run. Investors arguably can’t go wrong with either of these, and I personally own shares of both. But
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) is now the largest company on the planet; its market cap represents around 7.5% of the value of the S&P 500. As such, if you own any mutual funds or exchange-traded funds (ETFs) — particularly index funds — you probably already have a lot of exposure to the giant chipmaker. However, if
For three weeks, Wall Street sold the hottest trade in the market and bought one of the oldest. Chip stocks lost 15% while Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway gained 7%. That swing carried Berkshire’s Class B stock (BRK-B) to a record close Tuesday, its first since May 2, 2025 — the day before Buffett said he
3 Reasons to Sell JACK and 1 Stock to Buy Instead Since April 2026, Jack in the Box has been in a holding pattern, posting a small loss of 4.4% while floating around $12.15. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 8.9% gain during that period. Is there a buying opportunity in Jack
The cost of buying a sports team has soared in recent years, including record price tags in 2026 for the Los Angeles Lakers ($12.5 billion), Seattle Seahawks ($9.34 billion) and Los Angeles Angels ($4 billion). It has spurred talk of a sports valuation bubble. Yes, sports team values are up huge, but they trail stock
Anthropic (ANTH.PVT) is set to publicly file its S-1 investor prospectus as soon as Friday, according to three people familiar with the artificial intelligence firm’s plans. The move would mark a crucial next step for what could be the biggest IPO in history. The much-anticipated public debut, expected to surpass SpaceX’s (SPCX) June IPO, is
Over the last year, memory chip manufacturers have benefited from extraordinary demand for artificial intelligence (AI). In particular, Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) has witnessed its market capitalization propel from just $53 billion at the start of the AI revolution to more than $1 trillion today. MU Market Cap data by YCharts Missed Nvidia in 2009?
Micron (NASDAQ: MU) stock has more than tripled so far in 2026, making it the fourth-best-performing stock in the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) this year. That’s an impressive run, but for investors, the past really doesn’t matter; only the future. So, could Micron repeat this feat in 2027? One metric suggests that the answer to
Quick Read Ford (F) yields nearly 5% versus GM’s (GM) sub-1%, making Ford the clear winner for investors who need cash income today. GM’s dividend is covered 18 times by free cash flow versus Ford’s 2.6 times, making GM’s payout far safer for long-term holders. GM’s stock gained 187% over ten years versus Ford’s 62%,
You can say a lot of things about the Trump administration, but boring is not one of them. Over the last year and a half, investors have ridden a roller coaster of erratic trade policy, military conflicts, and executive actions. And throughout it all, the S&P 500 index (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has risen by a solid
For the better part of the last four years, the stock market has been unstoppable. The artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure build-out has helped propel the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI), S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC), and Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) to several record highs this year. But these gains may prove fleeting, courtesy of Trumpflation — inflation specifically
After a year of record-breaking gains, major market indexes are wobbling. The S&P 500 (^GSPC +0.28%) has fallen by nearly 2% over the last week, as of this writing, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC -0.02%) is down by more than 4% in that time. Much of the sell-off is stemming from the tech sector,
Old Republic International Earnings: What To Look For From ORI Insurance conglomerate Old Republic International (NYSE:ORI) will be reporting earnings this Thursday before market open. Here’s what investors should know. Old Republic International missed analysts’ revenue expectations last quarter, reporting revenues of $2.33 billion, up 5.2% year on year. It was a softer quarter for
Cathie Wood is one of America’s most-watched tech investors, known for her extreme bullishness on Bitcoin and disruptive future technologies like robotics and artificial intelligence (AI). According to her company’s most recent 13F SEC filing, as of the second quarter, Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest portfolio had a total of $15.4 billion of assets under management.
DSV A/S Company Announcement No. 1174 This announcement contains publication of inside information pursuant to Article 17 of the EU Market Abuse Regulation. With the integration of Schenker expected to be completed by the end of 2026 and with DSV on track for further deleveraging of its capital structure, the Board of Directors of DSV
Asian shares were mixed on Wednesday, with Japan and South Korean technology stocks advancing following a broad rally on Wall Street. The Kospi in Seoul gained more than 4% early on and by midday was trading up 3.4% at 5,733.82. South Korean AI company Elice, whose 32% drop Tuesday in its first day of trading
The S&P 500 has gained 12.3% this year. That’s with oil above $100 a barrel, consumer prices climbing 3.7% a year and a 10-year Treasury yielding 5.1%. Stocks are behaving as though none of that counts. So could inflation knock the index down 40%? Can anyone call the market’s next move, whether that’s tomorrow, next
Musk said $1 trillion in SpaceX revenue in 2028 was “no longer impossible,” versus the 2030 scenario he outlined in June. Gene Munster sees 95% odds of a Tesla merger within two years, while Dan Ives puts the probability at 80%-90% by end-2027. Independent committees are exploring a merger, but Musk cautioned that shareholder approval
Homeowners waiting for a better moment to sell should stop trying to time the market, National Association of Home Builders CEO Jim Tobin said. “If you’re trying to time the market, you can’t do it,” Tobin told Yahoo Finance on Monday. “If you talk to anybody who’s bragged about when they sold their home or
A slumping stock price. C-suit shakeups. Corporate layoffs. A failed takeover bid. It’s not a new drama on Netflix, but rather the drama that has surrounded the streaming giant as it limps into earnings with its stock nearly off 50% from its all time highs. Option traders are betting the drama might be coming to
