NBA Picks: Market Based EV Predictions (Wednesday)

We’re hunting for more value with tonight’s two NBA Play-In Tournament matchups. I’ve added a few NBA picks using the BettingPros’ Market Based EV page. There’s some real value on the betting board. Let’s attack.

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Wednesday’s Best Market Based EV NBA Picks

Jalen Suggs Over 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (+158 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

  • Fair Value: +150
  • Market EV: 3%

Jalen Suggs has added at least three three-pointers in three consecutive games. He actually nailed seven threes in his last game out against the Boston Celtics before the NBA Play-In Tournament.

Suggs has attempted more than seven three-pointers per game over the last 10 games. However, over his last two games, he’s attempted 24 threes combined, so he’s averaged 12 threes per game over the last two games.

Meanwhile, the 76ers rank 19th in three-point attempts and 18th in three-point rate to point guards. That’s still below average in the NBA. Let’s take a chance with Jalen Suggs at +158 odds to nail three shots from beyond the arc. There’s value here.

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