USD/JPY Weekly Forecast: Japan’s Economy Fears Tariff Impact

  • The USD/JPY weekly forecast indicates rising economic uncertainty in Japan.
  • Trump imposed a tariff on steel and aluminum imports.
  • Tariff fears overshadowed a downbeat US inflation report.

The USD/JPY weekly forecast turns positive as fears of the impact of Trump’s tariffs on Japan’s economy rise.

Ups and downs of USD/JPY

The USD/JPY price had a slightly bullish week as the dollar recovered with Treasury yields. Meanwhile, the yen gave up some gains as market participants worried about the impact of Trump’s tariffs on Japan. 

-Are you interested in learning about the forex indicators? Click here for details-

Trump imposed a tariff on steel and aluminum imports, igniting trade wars with Canada and the Eurozone. This escalated fears of a global economic slowdown. As a result, traders sought safety in US Treasuries. Meanwhile, the tariff fears overshadowed a downbeat US inflation report. 

On the other hand, the yen eased as market participants focused on the vulnerable export-reliant Japanese economy. Trump’s tariffs might hurt the economy.

Next week’s key events for USD/JPY

Next week, market participants will focus on monetary policy meetings by the Bank of Japan and the Fed. Moreover, the US will release its retail sales report, showing the state of consumer spending. 

Economists believe both the Bank of Japan and the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged. However, BoJ policymakers might maintain a hawkish tone, signaling future hikes. Meanwhile, the Fed might remain cautious due to uncertainty regarding Trump’s tariffs.

USD/JPY weekly technical forecast: Eying 149.00 key level

USD/JPY weekly forecastUSD/JPY weekly forecast
USD/JPY daily chart

On the technical side, the USD/JPY price is climbing after meeting the 0.618 Fib retracement. However, the price is still below the 22-SMA. At the same time, the RSI trades below 50, supporting strong bearish momentum. Since the price broke below the 22-SMA, it has maintained its position below this line, indicating a strong downtrend. Furthermore, the price has consistently made lower highs and lows. 

-Are you interested in learning about the best AI trading forex brokers? Click here for details-

The downtrend recently made a milestone move by breaking below the 149.00 support level. After the break, the price has risen to retest this level as resistance. If it holds firm, bears might resume the downtrend. However, the price would have to break below the 0.618 Fib retracement. This would allow USD/JPY to target the 142.00 support level. 

On the other hand, if bears fail to break below the 0.618 Fib, bulls might push the price back above 149.00. A break above the SMA would signal a likely reversal.

Looking to trade forex now? Invest at eToro!

68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Source link

Visited 1 times, 1 visit(s) today

Related Article

Weekly Forex Forecast - March 17

Weekly Forex Forecast – March 17

I wrote on 9th March that the best trades for the week would be: Long of Natural Gas futures, which fell by 8.13%. Short of the EUR/JPY and EUR/NZD currency crosses. The former rose by 0.82% while the latter fell by 0.26%. The overall result was a loss of 8.69%, which is 2.90% per asset.

Bitcoin 16/03/2025

Weekly Pairs in Focus – March 16

Created on March 16, 2025 Bitcoin plunged during the week, but it looks as if it is trying to find support near the 50 Week EMA, and it’s probably worth noting that the area just below there is the $75,000 level, an area that a lot of people would be paying close attention to. The

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

Sideway trading continued in GBP/JPY above 187.04 last week. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 193.09 will resume the rebound from 187.04 to 194.73 resistance, and then 198.94. On the downside, firm break of 187.04 will extend the fall from 199.79 towards 180.00 support. Overall, corrective pattern from

AUD/USD Weekly Report – Action Forex

AUD/USD stayed in range trading below 0.6407 last week. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 0.6186 will target 0.6087 support first. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 0.6941. On the upside, sustained break of 0.6407 will resume the rebound from 0.6087 to 100% projection of 0.6087 to

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

GBP/USD edged higher last week but lost momentum as seen in 4H MACD. But there is no clear sign of topping yet. Further rise will remain in favor this week as long as 1.2860 support holds. Sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 1.3433 to 1.2099 at 1.2923 will pave the way back to 1.3433 high.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/JPY edged lower to 146.52 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week for more consolidations. Upside of recovery should be limited by 150.92 support turned resistance. On the downside, sustained trading below 61.8% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 146.32 will pave the way to 139.57 support. In the bigger

Currency Markets Consolidate as Trader Start Repositioning for Tariff Battles in April

The past week in the currency markets was marked more by consolidation than decisive moves, even as risk aversion deepened in US stock markets. Dollar’s selloff slowed and turned into a modest recovery, but there was no clear momentum for bullish trend reversal. Sentiment remained fragile, weighed down by constantly escalating trade tensions and the

Devexa launches new Community feature within broker ecosystems

Devexa launches new Community feature within broker ecosystems

Devexa, the AI-powered trading assistant and trader engagement bot from global software developers for the capital markets, Devexperts, has launched a new community feature, enabling brokers to host a secure environment in which traders can engage with each other, all within the broker’s own ecosystem. The new feature will allow traders to exchange ideas on

Chart

Risk markets tread a slippery slope

Asia wrap US and European equity futures extended their slide, mirroring a rough session in Asia as two weeks of tariff-induced chaos continued to rattle risk sentiment. With market whiplash in full force, the best trade now seems to be sitting flat or positioning selectively and defensively. Meanwhile, the softer-than-expected US inflation print was largely dismissed,

USD/JPY Upsides Capped—Bulls Struggle to Break Through

Key Highlights USD/JPY extended losses and tested the 146.60 zone. A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance at 148.80 on the 4-hour chart. EUR/USD is consolidating gains above the 1.0800 resistance zone. Bitcoin is facing many hurdles near the $85,000 resistance zone. USD/JPY Technical Analysis The US Dollar remained in a bearish zone

USD/CAD Daily Outlook – Action Forex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4384; (P) 1.4418; (R1) 1.4477; More… Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral as sideway trading continues. Price actions from 1.4791 high are seen as a corrective pattern, with rebound from 1.4150 as the second leg. On the upside, break of 1.4541 will target 100% projection of 1.4150 to 1.4541 from 1.4238 at

Inflation Expectations Matter – Action Forex

Yesterday brought yet another escalation in the trade war. This time, Trump was reportedly totally annoyed that the Europeans responded to his 25% steel and aluminium tariffs rather than backing down and slapped 200% tariffs on champagne, wine, and other alcoholic beverages from France and the EU. LVMH, the owner of Moet & Chandon and

EUR/USD technical outlook

EUR/USD Outlook: EU-US Trade Tension Triggers Uncertainty

The EUR/USD outlook shows a bearish sentiment shift amid escalating trade tensions. The euro extended its retreat from the 5-month peak hit earlier in the week. The US threatened a 200% tariff on alcohol imports from the Eurozone. The EUR/USD outlook shows a bearish sentiment shift amid escalating trade tensions between the US and the

XAU/USD Forecast Today 14/10: Gold Skyrockets (Chart)

XAU/USD Forecast Today 14/10: Gold Skyrockets (Chart)

Created on March 14, 2025 The Thursday session has been very good for gold, as it looks like we are doing everything we can to reach toward the 3000 level. The 3000 level of course is an area that will attract a lot of attention as it is a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and

GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Recession Concerns Weigh on Dollar

GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Recession Concerns Weigh on Dollar

The GBP/USD weekly forecast shows escalating fears of a US recession. Downbeat US inflation figures increased expectations for Fed rate cuts. Data on Friday revealed an unexpected contraction in the UK economy. The GBP/USD weekly forecast is positive despite the paused rally, as escalating US recession fears weigh on the greenback.  Ups and downs of

The USD is mixed to start the FX trading day. — TradingView News

The USD is mixed to start the FX trading day. — TradingView News

As the NA session begins, the USD is mixed. The US stocks are higher and US yields are higher. Sentiment improved after Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer backed the Republican stopgap funding bill to prevent a government shutdown, despite party reservations. That is a positive. The trade/tariff news remains the problem for the economy/markets. Yesterday,

NASDAQ 100 Forecast Today 14/03: Struggles Overall (Video)

NASDAQ 100 Forecast Today 14/03: Struggles Overall (Video)

Created on March 14, 2025 The Nasdaq 100 initially tried to rally during the trading session on Thursday, but as you can see, we have really fallen since then. All things being equal, this is a market that is trying to sort out where to go next and you can see that this area here

Forex Brief March 14: Will Another Stock Market Selloff Hit Before the Weekend Close?

btc-usd Skerdian Meta•Friday, March 14, 2025•3 min read Add an article to your Reading List Register now to be able to add articles to your reading list. ” aria-hidden=”true”> Share in Facebook “> Stock markets fell yesterday due to geopolitical and economic concerns, and we may see more selling before the weekend close. Markets remain

Bybit targeting CFDs traders with zero-fee MT5 indices offer

Bybit targeting CFDs traders with zero-fee MT5 indices offer

Bybit, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, is taking aim at increasing its presence in the non-crypto trading arena, announcing a new perk for MT5 users on Bybit in a zero-fee trading event, which the company calls “Indices Unleashed”. From today until April 12, 2025, Bybit – subject of a recent $1.5 billion

0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x