Continues to Test Support (chart)

  • During my daily analysis of the gold market, the first thing I see is that we continue to look at the $2600 level as a massive support level.
  • All things being equal, this is a market that will pay close attention to that big figure as it had been previous resistance, so I think there’s a certain amount of “market memory” coming into the picture.
  • Therefore I think it’s probably only a matter of time before the buyers returned, just as they did during the Tuesday session.

Gold Forecast Today 10/10: Continues to Test Support (graph)

Even if they don’t, I think there are plenty of support of areas underneath, extending down to at least the 50 Day EMA near the $2550 level. That’s an area that previously had been supported, so I don’t see any reason why it won’t be again.

Massive Reasons for Bullish Pressure

I think there are a massive amount of reasons for bullish pressure in this market, not the least of which of course is going to be the fact that the reserve has cut interest rates by 50 basis points, and just last night, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand did the same, suggesting the central banks around the world are starting to get a little bit nervous. As they cut interest rates, it makes holding gold a little bit more palatable, because large firms will be able to pay the storage fees in the face of lower interest rates on bonds which of course is much easier to get involved with as they are digital.

Geopolitics have a lot to say as well, and quite frankly we just don’t have a good outlook for the world at the moment. Conflict is everywhere, and of course we have a lot of uncertainty when it comes to elections throughout the Western world.

Beyond that, we also have the overall trend that has been bullish for some time, and although we have seen a bit of a pullback, the reality is that we are still very much in an uptrend. Momentum tends to beget momentum, and I think that will be the case here as well. And finally, also keep in mind that central banks around the world continue to acquire gold, adding a little bit of a permanent “bid into the market.”

Ready to trade our Gold forecast? We’ve shortlisted the most trusted Gold brokers in the industry for you. 

Source link

Visited 1 times, 1 visit(s) today

Related Article

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook – Action Forex

USD/CAD’s up trend continued to as high as 1.4466 last week but retreated after breaching 1.4391 projection level. Initial bias is turned neutral this week for consolidations first. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.4177 resistance turned support holds. Break of 1.4466 and sustained trading above 1.4391 will pave the way to retest 1.4667/89

FX trading signals: Common sense and machine learning

FX trading signals: Common sense and machine learning

Jupyter Notebook Two valid methods to combine macro trading factors into a single signal are “conceptual parity” and machine learning. Conceptual parity takes a set of conceptually separate normalized factors and gives them equal weights. Machine learning optimizes models and derives weights sequentially, potentially with theoretical restrictions. Both methods support realistic backtests. Conceptual parity works

USD/CAD Weekly Forecast: Fed-BoC Divergence Triggers Bulls

USD/CAD Weekly Forecast: Fed-BoC Divergence Triggers Bulls

US data on sales, business activity and GDP growth all revealed a robust economy. Canada’s inflation rose more than expected, but sales missed forecasts. Fed policymakers forecast fewer-than-expected rate cuts in 2025. The USD/CAD weekly forecast shows a divergence in policies between the Fed and the BoC that has hurt the loonie. Ups and downs

Get our exclusive guide to EUR/USD trading in Q4 2024

The Price Breaks the Two-Year Support Zone

EUR/USD has breached the support level at 1.05500, and selling momentum has strengthened the current downtrend in the chart.   The Federal Reserve (Fed) has emphasized slowing down the pace of interest rate cuts, a move that could be crucial in maintaining the strength of the U.S. dollar over the long term.   EUR/USD has

20241219gbpjpyH1

GBP/JPY eyes break of its 2015 high

The Bank of Japan held their interest rate at 0.25% as widely expected, and there is little expectation for them to fire up their hawkish engines by any meaningful degree soon. The Bank of England also meets shortly and is also likely to hold their interest rate, at a much higher 4.75%. And recent data

GBP/USD Signal Today - 19/12: Sterling Faces Risk (Chart)

GBP/USD Signal Today – 19/12: Sterling Faces Risk (Chart)

Created on December 19, 2024 Bearish View Sell the GBP/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.2490. Add a stop-loss at 1.2800. Timeline: 1-2 days. Bullish View Set a buy-stop at 1.2715 and a take-profit at 1.2800. Add a stop-loss at 1.2500. The GBP/USD pair remained on edge after the UK published the November consumer

Nasdaq 100 Index Plummets After Fed Decision

On 17th December, analysing the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), we: → Drew a blue upward channel relevant for 2024; → Noted that the price was near the upper boundary of the channel, while the RSI indicator had entered the overbought zone; → Suggested that bulls might face difficulties in pushing

20241220forex

Yen thrown overboard post BOJ, ASX selloff looks stretched

The BOJ held their interest rate at 0.25%, but it seems there was still some hope they might have raised rates, given the yen’s response. Even if the odds of a hike yesterday were greatly diminished, just a few weeks ago the odds firmly backed one. Furthermore, their tone was quite dovish, indicating that the

EURUSD Daily Chart 12202024

EUR/USD Defends Yearly Low to Keep RSI Above 30

US Dollar Outlook: EUR/USD EUR/USD appears to be defending the yearly low (1.0333) as it rebounds from a fresh monthly low (1.0343), with the recovery in the exchange rate keeping the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 30. US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Defends Yearly Low to Keep RSI Above 30 EUR/USD may track the November range

BTC/USD Forecast Today: Holds $100K Support (graph)

BTC/USD Forecast Today: Holds $100K Support (Chart)

Created on December 20, 2024 During my analysis of Bitcoin, the first thing that comes to attention is the fact that the $100,000 level continues to be very important. This is obviously a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and I would venture to say there are probably a lot of options traders willing to get

GO Markets Review 2024 - Investing.com

GO Markets Review 2024 – Investing.com

Transparent Fee Structure GO Markets offers competitive and transparent pricing with minimal fees to ensure cost-effective trading for all clients. Account Minimum There is no minimum deposit requirement for either the Standard or GO Plus+ accounts, making the platform accessible to traders with varying budgets. Trading Fees The Standard Account charges no commissions, with costs

Drops Amid USD Strength -Video

Drops Amid USD Strength -Video

Created on December 20, 2024 As you can see, the Euro initially did rally against the US dollar during the trading session on Thursday, but it has been slapped right back down. I think it’s probably only a matter of time before the Euro drops down to the parity level, possibly lower than that, because

Australia court: Clients at USGFX reps EuropeFX and TradeFred lost $83M

Australia court: Clients at USGFX reps EuropeFX and TradeFred lost $83M

Australia financial regulator ASIC has reported that the Australia Federal Court has unveiled another side of the bankruptcy of former AFS licensed CFDs broker USGFX, indicating that the “unconscionable conduct” that led to the demise of USGFX went well beyond its own four walls. The 2020 bankruptcy of USGFX operator Union Standard International Group Pty

GBP/USD technical forecast

GBP/USD Outlook: Pound Slides as Rate Cut Bets Grow

Three BoE policymakers were ready to lower borrowing costs. Data revealed that UK retail sales missed forecasts, increasing by 0.2%. The US economy expanded by 3.1% in the fourth quarter, above estimates of 2.8%. The GBP/USD outlook shows growing enthusiasm among pound bears as Bank of England rate cut expectations increase. At the same time,

USD/CAD technical price analysis

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Political Stability Restores Loonie

Canada’s new Finance Minister, Dominic Leblanc, took office, restoring political calm. The US economy grew by 3.1% in the fourth quarter. US jobless claims dropped more than expected last week. The USD/CAD price analysis suggests political calm in Canada, which has given the loonie some strength against the shining dollar. Meanwhile, market participants eagerly await

USD/MXN Forecast Today - 19/12: USD Rallies vs MXN (Chart)

USD/MXN Forecast Today – 19/12: USD Rallies vs MXN (Chart)

Created on December 19, 2024 The US dollar has rallied rather significantly during the trading session on Wednesday, as the FOMC in the United States cut interest rates by 25 basis points. It wasn’t necessarily that the cut itself is a surprise, it has more to do with the fact that the forward guidance suggests that

Sees a Small Pullback (Video)

Sees a Small Pullback (Video)

Created on December 19, 2024 The Bitcoin market fell a bit during the early hours on Wednesday as we wait for the FOMC meeting, the FOMC meeting and interest rate, press conference statement all come into the picture to drive the value of the US dollar. Now, while the Federal Reserve is expected to cut

GBP/USD technical forecast

GBP/USD Forecast: Dollar Surges Amid Hawkish FOMC

The greenback jumped after the Fed forecasted fewer rate cuts in 2025. Forecasts revealed that the Fed might only lower rates by 50 bps. Inflation jumped from 2.3% to 2.6% in the three months to October. The GBP/USD forecast shows renewed support for the USD despite FOMC’s rate cut. The Fed left a hawkish statement

0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x