2026 Golden Globes Winner Odds in Every Category Revealed

The winner odds for every category of the 2026 Golden Globes have been revealed after the nominations were announced on Monday, December 8. Fans and experts have come out with their predictions on which films, TV series, actors, and actresses will take home the coveted Golden Globe Award when the show, hosted once again by comedian Nikki Glaser, airs on January 11, 2026 on CBS. Among the nominations, One Battle After Another leads the field with nine, Sentimental Value has eight, and Sinners has come away with seven.

All 2026 Golden Globes winner predictions and odds

The following are 2026 Golden Globes winner predictions based on votes on Gold Derby on December 9, 2025. (These odds are subject to change and will likely fluctuate as we continue towards the full awards show in January.)

Best Motion Picture – Drama

  • Frankenstein – 0.52%
  • Hamnet – 54.18%
  • It Was Just an Accident – 3%
  • Sentimental Value – 5.61%
  • Sinners – 34.33%
  • The Secret Agent – 2.35%

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

  • Blue Moon – 0.40%
  • Bugonia – 0%
  • Marty Supreme – 0.93%
  • No Other Choice – 0.40%
  • Nouvelle Vague – 0.53%
  • One Battle After Another – 97.74%

Best non-English language film

  • It Was Just an Accident – 67.45%
  • No Other Choice – 0.41%
  • The Secret Agent – 7.86%
  • Sentimental Value – 23.59%
  • Sirât – 0.41%
  • The Voice of Hind Rajab – 0.55%

Best Motion Picture – Animated

  • Arco – 1.52%
  • Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle – 0.55%
  • Elio – 0.28%
  • KPop Demon Hunters – 83.88%
  • Little Amélie or the Character of Rain – 3.86%
  • Zootopia 2 – 9.92%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

  • Jessie Buckley – Hamnet – 96%
  • Jennifer Lawrence – Die, My Love – 1.05%
  • Renate Reinsve – Sentimental Value – 1.97%
  • Julia Roberts – After the Hunt – 0.53%
  • Tessa Thompson – Hedda – 0.39%
  • Eva Victor – Sorry, Baby – 0.26%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

  • Joel Edgerton – Train Dreams – 1.97%
  • Oscar Isaac – Frankenstein – 0.39%
  • Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine – 1.05%
  • Michael B Jordan – Sinners – 16.93%
  • Wagner Moura – The Secret Agent – 79%
  • Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere – 0.66%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

  • Rose Byrne – If I Had Legs I’d Kick You – 82%
  • Cynthia Erivo – Wicked: For Good – 4.93%
  • Kate Hudson – Song Sung Blue – 0.53%
  • Chase Infiniti – One Battle After Another – 2.53%
  • Amanda Seyfried – The Testament of Ann Lee – 3.6%
  • Emma Stone – Bugonia – 6.13%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

  • Timothée Chalamet – Marty Supreme – 60.53%
  • George Clooney – Jay Kelly – 0.27%
  • Leonardo DiCaprio – One Battle After Another – 26.13%
  • Ethan Hawke – Blue Moon – 11.73%
  • Lee Byung-Hun – No Other Choice – 1.07%
  • Jesse Plemons – Bugonia – 0.27%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture

  • Emily Blunt – The Smashing Machine – 0.13%
  • Elle Fanning – Sentimental Value – 1.06%
  • Ariana Grande – Wicked: For Good – 15.56%
  • Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas – Sentimental Value – 6.38%
  • Amy Madigan – Weapons – 24.07%
  • Teyana Taylor – One Battle After Another – 52.79%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture

  • Benicio Del Toro – One Battle After Another – 19.57%
  • Jacob Elordi – Frankenstein – 1.88%
  • Paul Mescal – Hamnet – 2.01%
  • Sean Penn – One Battle After Another – 10.46%
  • Adam Sandler – Jay Kelly – 1.34%
  • Stellan Skarsgård – Sentimental Value – 64.75%

Cinematic and Box Office Achievement

  • Avatar: Fire and Ash – 7.82%
  • F1 – 0.71%
  • KPop Demon Hunters – 2.28%
  • Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning – 0.43%
  • Sinners – 79.37%
  • Weapons – 0.85%
  • Wicked: For Good – 4.69%
  • Zootopia 2 – 3.84%

Best Director – Motion Picture

  • Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another – 91.24%
  • Ryan Coogler – Sinners – 1.89%
  • Guillermo del Toro – Frankenstein – 0.67%
  • Jafar Panahi – It Was Just an Accident – 4.85%
  • Joachim Trier – Sentimental Value – 0.27%
  • Chloe Zhao – Hamnet – 1.08%

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture

  • Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another – 65.66%
  • Ronald Bronstein, Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme – 0.14%
  • Ryan Coogler – Sinners – 9.17%
  • Jafar Panahi – It Was Just an Accident – 17.65%
  • Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier – Sentimental Value – 4.51%
  • Chloé Zhao, Maggie O’Farrell – Hamnet – 2.87%

Best Original Song – Motion Picture

  • Miley Cyrus, Andrew Wyatt, Mark Ronson, Simon Franglen – Avatar: Fire and Ash; Dream as One – 1.12%
  • Joong Gyu Kwak, Yu Han Lee, Hee Dong Nam, Jeong Hoon Seo, Park Hong Jun, Kim Eun-jae (EJAE), Mark Sonnenblick – KPop Demon Hunters; Golden – 81.01%
  • Raphael Saadiq, Ludwig Göransson – Sinners; I Lied to You – 14.94%
  • Stephen Schwartz – Wicked: For Good; No Place Like Home – 1.68%
  • Stephen Schwartz – Wicked: For Good; The Girl in the Bubble – 0.56%
  • Nick Cave, Bryce Dessner – Train Dreams; Train Dreams – 0.7%

Best Original Score – Motion Picture

  • Alexandre Desplat – Frankenstein – 0.42%
  • Ludwig Göransson – Sinners – 84.52%
  • Jonny Greenwood – One Battle After Another – 11.58%
  • Kanding Ray – Sirāt – 1.67%
  • Max Richter – Hamnet – 1.39%
  • Hans Zimmer – F1 – 0.42%

Best Television Series – Drama

  • The Diplomat – 0.22%
  • The Pitt – 80.04%
  • Pluribus – 6.07%
  • Severance – 11.28%
  • Slow Horses – 0.43%
  • The White Lotus – 1.95%

Best Television Series – Musical or Comedy

  • Abbott Elementary – 0.44%
  • The Bear – 0.44%
  • Hacks – 3.07%
  • Nobody Wants This – 0.44%
  • Only Murders in the Building – 1.75%
  • The Studio – 93.86%

Best Television Limited Series, Anthology Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television

  • Adolescence – 98.03%
  • All Her Fault – 0.44%
  • The Beast In Me – 0%
  • Black Mirror – 0.44%
  • Dying for Sex – 0.88%
  • The Girlfriend – 0.22%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Series – Drama

  • Kathy Bates – Matlock – 5.63%
  • Britt Lower – Severance – 21.21%
  • Helen Mirren – Mobland – 0.43%
  • Bella Ramsey – The Last of Us – 0.65%
  • Keri Russell – The Diplomat – 1.08%
  • Rhea Seehorn – Pluribus – 71%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Series – Drama

  • Sterling K Brown – Paradise – 0.65%
  • Diego Luna – Andor – 1.95%
  • Gary Oldman – Slow Horses – 0.22%
  • Mark Ruffalo – Task – 0.87%
  • Adam Scott – Severance – 6.71%
  • Noah Wyle – The Pitt – 89.61%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

  • Kristen Bell – Nobody Wants This – 3.95%
  • Ayo Edebiri – The Bear – 0.66%
  • Selena Gomez – Only Murders in the Building – 1.54%
  • Natasha Lyonne – Poker Face – 0.22%
  • Jenna Ortega – Wednesday – 2.19%
  • Jean Smart – Hacks – 91.45%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

  • Adam Brody – Nobody Wants This – 0.44%
  • Steve Martin – Only Murders in the Building – 0.88%
  • Glen Powell – Chad Powers – 1.31%
  • Seth Rogen – The Studio – 93.22%
  • Martin Short – Only Murders in the Building – 3.72%
  • Jeremy Allen White – The Bear – 0.44%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or a Motion Picture Made for Television

  • Claire Danes – The Beast in Me – 2.65%
  • Rashida Jones – Black Mirror – 0.88%
  • Amanda Seyfried – Long Bright River – 0.88%
  • Sarah Snook – All Her Fault – 18.58%
  • Michelle Williams – Dying for Sex – 76.11%
  • Robin Wright – The Girlfriend – 0.88%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or a Motion Picture Made for Television

  • Jacob Elordi – The Narrow Road to the Deep North – 0.44%
  • Paul Giamatti – Black Mirror – 1.32%
  • Stephen Graham – Adolescence – 91.19%
  • Charlie Hunnam – Monster: The Ed Gein Story – 5.51%
  • Jude Law – Black Rabbit – 0.22%
  • Matthew Rhys – The Beast in Me – 1.32%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role on Television

  • Carrie Coon – The White Lotus – 4.43%
  • Erin Doherty – Adolescence – 36.81%
  • Hannah Einbinder – Hacks – 53.88%
  • Catherine O’Hara – The Studio – 2.00%
  • Parker Posey – The White Lotus – 2.00%
  • Aimee-Lou Wood – The White Lotus – 0.89%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role on Television

  • Owen Cooper – Adolescence – 91.15%
  • Billy Crudup – The Morning Show – 0.44%
  • Walton Goggins – The White Lotus – 1.33%
  • Jason Isaacs – The White Lotus – 0.44%
  • Tramell Tillman – Severance – 6.42%
  • Ashley Walters – Adolescence – 0.22%

Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television

  • Bill Maher – Is Anyone Else Seeing This? – 6.03%
  • Brett Goldstein – The Second Best Night of Your Life – 17.40%
  • Kevin Hart – Acting My Age – 2.09%
  • Kumail Nanjiani – Night Thoughts – 2.55%
  • Ricky Gervais – Mortality – 66.82%
  • Sarah Silverman – Sarah Silverman: PostMortem – 5.10%

Best Podcast

  • Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard – 0.69%
  • Call Her Daddy – 1.83%
  • Good Hang with Amy Poehler – 93.81%
  • The Mel Robbins Podcast – 0.23%
  • SmartLess – 2.52%
  • Up First from NPR – 0.92%

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